The School of Odds
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Wieczysta Kraków v Lech Poznań

2026-08-01 15:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wieczysta Kraków (Local)

Prediction 21.65%4.62fair odd
EV +3.91%
Edge +0.815%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.040%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.13%21.50%21.74%23.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.194.204.8026.67%23.87%23.81%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lech Poznań (Visit)

Prediction 54.60%1.83fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -5.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.66%54.70%54.44%56.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.691.701.7562.11%59.24%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.75%4.21fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -0.822%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.54%23.80%23.82%24.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.843.804.0728.57%26.05%26.32%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV +3.91%E +0.815%K +1.03%G +0.040%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -11.54%E -7.12%K -18.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.76%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-28 17:39
Pinnacle4.65I 21.51%NM 20.30%EV +0.665%E +0.143%K +0.182%G +0.001%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -8.81%E -5.28%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.19%EV -3.35%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 18:14
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -2.58%E -0.574%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -9.90%E -6.00%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.01%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 17:14
LowVig.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -2.58%E -0.574%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -10.45%E -6.37%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.01%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 16:49
BetOnline.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -2.58%E -0.574%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -10.45%E -6.37%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.01%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 16:49
Marathon Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -3.66%E -0.823%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.52%EV -8.81%E -5.28%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.65%EV -6.91%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 18:09
1xBet4.42I 22.62%NM 21.08%EV -4.31%E -0.976%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.14%EV -7.72%E -4.57%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.77%EV -6.91%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 18:09
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -10.95%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 16:54
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -10.95%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 16:55
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -10.95%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 16:54
Coolbet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -6.91%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -4.44%E -2.54%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -5.01%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:00
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -6.91%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -7.72%E -4.57%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -5.01%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 17:24
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.63%E -3.88%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -5.01%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 16:58
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -4.44%E -2.54%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -10.95%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 17:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.01%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 16:59
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -12.09%E -7.51%K -19.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -5.01%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-28 19:39
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -10.16%E -2.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -4.44%E -2.54%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -10.95%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 17:04
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -10.16%E -2.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -4.44%E -2.54%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -10.95%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 17:04
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -11.24%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -4.99%E -2.87%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.38%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 16:54
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -11.24%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -7.72%E -4.57%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.01%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 16:59
Bet Victor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -11.24%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.76%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-28 17:29
betano_uk4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -11.24%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.76%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-28 17:28
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -5.01%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-28 16:58
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.81%E -5.28%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -5.01%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-28 16:58
NetBet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.76%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.06%EV -12.09%E -7.51%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -14.51%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-28 18:33
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -14.49%E -3.67%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.59%EV -6.63%E -3.88%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -13.32%E -3.65%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-28 17:04
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -16.65%E -4.33%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.77%EV -7.17%E -4.22%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.95%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-28 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -17.74%E -4.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -5.54%E -3.20%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.51%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 16:59
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -17.74%E -4.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -5.54%E -3.20%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.51%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 16:55
Betclic (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 22.71%EV -17.74%E -4.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 52.63%EV -10.45%E -6.37%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.66%EV -16.88%E -4.82%K -6.75%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-28 17:04
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -18.82%E -5.02%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.13%EV -11.54%E -7.12%K -18.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.91%EV -14.51%E -4.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-28 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 22.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%13.3%2026-07-28 17:04