Language:English
Wieczysta Kraków v Lech Poznań
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wieczysta Kraków (Local)
Prediction 28.49%3.51fair odd
EV -0.291%
Edge -0.083%
Kelly -0.116%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.59%28.44%28.48%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.243.253.5033.33%30.82%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lech Poznań (Visit)
Prediction 45.92%2.18fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.57%46.09%45.93%48.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.982.002.1154.64%50.55%50.00%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.59%3.91fair odd
EV +2.37%
Edge +0.594%
Kelly +0.792%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.00%25.47%25.60%26.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.653.654.0029.41%27.39%27.40%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wieczysta Kraków (Local): 28.49%; Lech Poznań (Visit): 45.92%; Draw: 25.59%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -0.291%E -0.083%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +2.37%E +0.594%K +0.792%G +0.019% | 3.6% | 2026-08-01 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -0.291%E -0.083%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +2.37%E +0.594%K +0.792%G +0.019% | 3.6% | 2026-08-01 14:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.14%E -0.923%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 14:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 15:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 15:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 15:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.99%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.91%EV -11.84%E -6.17%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -2.74%E -0.722%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -12.76%E -6.71%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.95%EV -13.22%E -6.99%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 15:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -9.08%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -12.76%E -6.71%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-01 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -13.67%E -7.27%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -3.14%E -0.923%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.61%EV -3.11%E -1.48%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.08%EV -5.56%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.02%EV -15.97%E -8.73%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-01 15:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.82%EV -4.28%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.50%EV -7.70%E -3.83%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.68%EV -6.84%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.99%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 15:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-01 15:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -12.30%E -6.44%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-01 14:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -14.53%E -4.84%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -15.97%E -8.73%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.32%EV -6.27%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -9.14%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 15:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -6.56%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -6.79%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -9.14%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.36%EV -6.79%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 15:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 15:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.99%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 15:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.13%EV -11.84%E -6.17%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 15:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-01 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-01 15:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.31%EV -13.67%E -7.27%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-01 15:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 1.9% | 2026-08-01 15:10 |
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