Langue:Français
Wieczysta Kraków v Lech Poznań
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Wieczysta Kraków (Local)
Prévision 28.49%3.51cote équitable
EV -0.291%
Avantage -0.083%
Kelly -0.116%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.59%28.44%28.48%29.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.243.253.5033.33%30.82%30.77%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Lech Poznań (Visiteur)
Prévision 45.92%2.18cote équitable
EV -3.11%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -2.80%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.11
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.57%46.09%45.93%48.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.982.002.1154.64%50.55%50.00%47.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 25.59%3.91cote équitable
EV +2.37%
Avantage +0.594%
Kelly +0.792%
Croissance +0.019%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.00%25.47%25.60%26.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.653.654.0029.41%27.39%27.40%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Wieczysta Kraków (Local) : 28.49% ; Lech Poznań (Visiteur) : 45.92% ; Match nul : 25.59%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.91. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.00, soit une espérance positive de +2.37%.
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -0.291%E -0.083%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +2.37%E +0.594%K +0.792%G +0.019% | 3.6% | 2026-08-01 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -0.291%E -0.083%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +2.37%E +0.594%K +0.792%G +0.019% | 3.6% | 2026-08-01 14:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.14%E -0.923%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 14:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 15:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 15:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 15:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.99%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.91%EV -11.84%E -6.17%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -2.74%E -0.722%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -12.76%E -6.71%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.95%EV -13.22%E -6.99%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 15:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -9.08%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -12.76%E -6.71%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-01 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -13.67%E -7.27%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -3.14%E -0.923%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.61%EV -3.11%E -1.48%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.08%EV -5.56%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.02%EV -15.97%E -8.73%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-01 15:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.82%EV -4.28%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.50%EV -7.70%E -3.83%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.68%EV -6.84%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.99%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 15:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-01 15:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -12.30%E -6.44%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-01 14:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -14.53%E -4.84%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -15.97%E -8.73%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.32%EV -6.27%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -9.14%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 15:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -6.56%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -6.79%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -9.14%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.36%EV -6.79%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 15:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 15:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.99%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 15:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.13%EV -11.84%E -6.17%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 15:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-01 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-01 15:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.31%EV -13.67%E -7.27%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-01 15:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 1.9% | 2026-08-01 15:10 |