Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Wieczysta Kraków v Lech Poznań

Inizio: 2026-08-01 15:30 UTC

Finale: Wieczysta Kraków 1–2 Lech Poznań

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

51 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Wieczysta Kraków (Casa)

Previsione 28.49%3.51quota equa
EV -0.291%
Vantaggio -0.083%
Kelly -0.116%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.59%28.44%28.48%29.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.243.253.5033.33%30.82%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Lech Poznań (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.92%2.18quota equa
EV -3.11%
Vantaggio -1.48%
Kelly -2.80%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.57%46.09%45.93%48.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.982.002.1154.64%50.55%50.00%47.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.59%3.91quota equa
EV +2.37%
Vantaggio +0.594%
Kelly +0.792%
Crescita +0.019%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.00%25.47%25.60%26.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.653.654.0029.41%27.39%27.40%25.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Wieczysta Kraków (Casa): 28.49%; Lech Poznań (Trasferta): 45.92%; Pareggio: 25.59%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.91. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.37%.

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -0.291%E -0.083%K -0.116%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +2.37%E +0.594%K +0.792%G +0.019%3.6%2026-08-01 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -0.291%E -0.083%K -0.116%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +2.37%E +0.594%K +0.792%G +0.019%3.6%2026-08-01 14:24
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.14%E -0.923%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 14:39
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 15:19
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 15:19
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 15:20
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 15:20
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 15:10
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 15:10
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 15:09
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 15:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 15:09
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.99%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.91%EV -11.84%E -6.17%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -2.74%E -0.722%K -0.980%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 15:20
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 15:05
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -12.76%E -6.71%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-01 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.95%EV -13.22%E -6.99%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 15:20
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 15:24
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -9.08%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -12.76%E -6.71%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -13.67%E -7.27%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 15:19
Pinnacle🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -3.14%E -0.923%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.61%EV -3.11%E -1.48%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.08%EV -5.56%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 15:05
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 15:19
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 15:19
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.02%EV -15.97%E -8.73%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-01 15:09
BetUS🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 27.82%EV -4.28%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.50%EV -7.70%E -3.83%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.68%EV -6.84%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 15:15
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.99%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 15:18
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 15:19
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 15:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 15:20
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -12.30%E -6.44%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-01 14:39
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -14.53%E -4.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -15.97%E -8.73%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-01 14:30
1xBet🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 28.32%EV -6.27%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -9.14%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 15:14
Marathon Bet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -6.56%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -6.79%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -9.14%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 15:19
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.36%EV -6.79%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 15:04
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.99%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 15:19
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 15:14
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.13%EV -11.84%E -6.17%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-01 15:19
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 15:04
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 15:05
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 15:19
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 15:19
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 15:14
NetBet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.31%EV -13.67%E -7.27%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-01 15:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-08-01 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-01 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-01 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-01 15:25
Smarkets◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-08-01 15:25
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-08-01 15:10