StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Wieczysta Kraków v Lech Poznań

Matchstart: 2026-08-01 15:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Wieczysta Kraków 1–2 Lech Poznań

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Wieczysta Kraków (Hemma)

Prognos 28.49%3.51rättvist odds
EV -0.291%
Fördel -0.083%
Kelly -0.116%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.59%28.44%28.48%29.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.243.253.5033.33%30.82%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Lech Poznań (Borta)

Prognos 45.92%2.18rättvist odds
EV -3.11%
Fördel -1.48%
Kelly -2.80%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.11

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.57%46.09%45.93%48.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.831.982.002.1154.64%50.55%50.00%47.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.59%3.91rättvist odds
EV +2.37%
Fördel +0.594%
Kelly +0.792%
Tillväxt +0.019%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.00%25.47%25.60%26.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.653.654.0029.41%27.39%27.40%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Wieczysta Kraków (Hemma): 28.49%; Lech Poznań (Borta): 45.92%; Oavgjort: 25.59%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.91. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.37%.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -0.291%E -0.083%K -0.116%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +2.37%E +0.594%K +0.792%G +0.019%3.6%2026-08-01 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -0.291%E -0.083%K -0.116%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +2.37%E +0.594%K +0.792%G +0.019%3.6%2026-08-01 14:24
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.14%E -0.923%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 14:39
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 15:19
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 15:19
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 15:20
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 15:20
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 15:10
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 15:10
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 15:09
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 15:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 15:09
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.99%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.91%EV -11.84%E -6.17%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -2.74%E -0.722%K -0.980%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 15:20
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 15:05
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -12.76%E -6.71%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-01 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.95%EV -13.22%E -6.99%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 15:20
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 15:24
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -9.08%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -12.76%E -6.71%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -13.67%E -7.27%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 15:19
Pinnacle🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -3.14%E -0.923%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.61%EV -3.11%E -1.48%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.08%EV -5.56%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 15:05
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 15:19
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 15:19
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.02%EV -15.97%E -8.73%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-01 15:09
BetUS🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 27.82%EV -4.28%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.50%EV -7.70%E -3.83%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.68%EV -6.84%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 15:15
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.99%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 15:18
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 15:19
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 15:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 15:20
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -12.30%E -6.44%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-01 14:39
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -14.53%E -4.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -15.97%E -8.73%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-01 14:30
1xBet🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 28.32%EV -6.27%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -9.14%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 15:14
Marathon Bet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -6.56%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -6.79%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -9.14%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 15:19
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.36%EV -6.79%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 15:04
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.99%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 15:19
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 15:14
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.13%EV -11.84%E -6.17%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-01 15:19
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 15:04
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 15:05
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 15:19
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 15:19
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 15:14
NetBet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.31%EV -13.67%E -7.27%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-01 15:24
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-08-01 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-01 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-01 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-01 15:25
Smarkets◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-08-01 15:25
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-08-01 15:10