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Wieczysta Kraków v Lech Poznań
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Wieczysta Kraków (Хозяева)
Прогноз 28.49%3.51справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.291%
Преимущество -0.083%
Kelly -0.116%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.59%28.44%28.48%29.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.243.253.5033.33%30.82%30.77%28.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Lech Poznań (Гости)
Прогноз 45.92%2.18справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.11%
Преимущество -1.48%
Kelly -2.80%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.11
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.57%46.09%45.93%48.28%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.831.982.002.1154.64%50.55%50.00%47.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 25.59%3.91справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.37%
Преимущество +0.594%
Kelly +0.792%
Рост +0.019%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.00%25.47%25.60%26.87%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.653.654.0029.41%27.39%27.40%25.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Wieczysta Kraków (Хозяева): 28.49%; Lech Poznań (Гости): 45.92%; Ничья: 25.59%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.91. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.37%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -0.291%E -0.083%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +2.37%E +0.594%K +0.792%G +0.019% | 3.6% | 2026-08-01 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -0.291%E -0.083%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +2.37%E +0.594%K +0.792%G +0.019% | 3.6% | 2026-08-01 14:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.14%E -0.923%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 14:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 15:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 15:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 15:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.99%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.91%EV -11.84%E -6.17%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -2.74%E -0.722%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -12.76%E -6.71%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.95%EV -13.22%E -6.99%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 15:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -9.08%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -12.76%E -6.71%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-01 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -13.67%E -7.27%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -3.14%E -0.923%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.61%EV -3.11%E -1.48%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.08%EV -5.56%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.02%EV -15.97%E -8.73%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-01 15:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.82%EV -4.28%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.50%EV -7.70%E -3.83%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.68%EV -6.84%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.99%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 15:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-01 15:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -12.30%E -6.44%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-01 14:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -14.53%E -4.84%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -15.97%E -8.73%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.32%EV -6.27%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -9.14%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 15:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -6.56%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -6.79%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -9.14%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.36%EV -6.79%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 15:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 15:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.99%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 15:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.13%EV -11.84%E -6.17%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 15:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-01 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-01 15:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.31%EV -13.67%E -7.27%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-01 15:24 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 1.9% | 2026-08-01 15:10 |