Idioma:Español
Wieczysta Kraków v Lech Poznań
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wieczysta Kraków (Local)
Predicción 28.49%3.51momio equitativo
EV -0.291%
Ventaja -0.083%
Kelly -0.116%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.59%28.44%28.48%29.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.243.253.5033.33%30.82%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Lech Poznań (Visitante)
Predicción 45.92%2.18momio equitativo
EV -3.11%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -2.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.57%46.09%45.93%48.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.831.982.002.1154.64%50.55%50.00%47.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.59%3.91momio equitativo
EV +2.37%
Ventaja +0.594%
Kelly +0.792%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.00%25.47%25.60%26.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.653.654.0029.41%27.39%27.40%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Wieczysta Kraków (Local): 28.49%; Lech Poznań (Visitante): 45.92%; Empate: 25.59%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.91. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.37%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -0.291%E -0.083%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +2.37%E +0.594%K +0.792%G +0.019% | 3.6% | 2026-08-01 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -0.291%E -0.083%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +2.37%E +0.594%K +0.792%G +0.019% | 3.6% | 2026-08-01 14:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.14%E -0.923%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 14:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 15:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 15:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 15:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.99%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.91%EV -11.84%E -6.17%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -2.74%E -0.722%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -12.76%E -6.71%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.95%EV -13.22%E -6.99%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 15:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -9.08%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -12.76%E -6.71%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-01 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -13.67%E -7.27%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -3.14%E -0.923%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.61%EV -3.11%E -1.48%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.08%EV -5.56%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.02%EV -15.97%E -8.73%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-01 15:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.82%EV -4.28%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.50%EV -7.70%E -3.83%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.68%EV -6.84%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.99%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 15:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-01 15:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -12.30%E -6.44%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-01 14:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -14.53%E -4.84%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -15.97%E -8.73%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.32%EV -6.27%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -9.14%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 15:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -6.56%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -6.79%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -9.14%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.36%EV -6.79%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 15:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 15:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.99%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 15:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.13%EV -11.84%E -6.17%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 15:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-01 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-01 15:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-01 15:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.31%EV -13.67%E -7.27%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-01 15:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 1.9% | 2026-08-01 15:10 |