Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Wieczysta Kraków v Lech Poznań

2026-08-01 15:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Wieczysta Kraków (Local)

Predicción 21.27%4.70momio equitativo
EV +2.08%
Ventaja +0.434%
Kelly +0.548%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.13%21.32%21.14%23.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.314.384.8026.32%23.19%22.86%20.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Lech Poznań (Visitante)

Predicción 55.12%1.81momio equitativo
EV -3.55%
Ventaja -2.03%
Kelly -4.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.66%54.99%55.30%56.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.671.671.7564.10%59.83%59.88%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 23.62%4.23momio equitativo
EV -0.805%
Ventaja -0.192%
Kelly -0.252%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.54%23.70%23.56%24.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.883.914.2028.57%25.78%25.58%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV +2.08%E +0.434%K +0.548%G +0.011%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -10.71%E -6.61%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-28 17:39
Pinnacle4.65I 21.51%NM 20.30%EV -1.11%E -0.239%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.96%E -4.76%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.19%EV -3.88%E -0.952%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 18:14
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.30%E -0.955%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -0.805%E -0.192%K -0.252%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 20:14
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.30%E -0.955%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -7.96%E -4.76%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.17%E -0.773%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 20:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.30%E -0.955%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -7.96%E -4.76%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.17%E -0.773%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 20:14
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.30%E -0.955%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.96%E -4.76%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 20:10
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.30%E -0.955%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.96%E -4.76%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 20:09
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.30%E -0.955%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.96%E -4.76%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 20:10
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.30%E -0.955%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.96%E -4.76%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 20:14
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.30%E -0.955%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.96%E -4.76%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 20:14
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.30%E -0.955%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.96%E -4.76%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 20:14
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.30%E -0.955%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.96%E -4.76%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 20:14
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.30%E -0.955%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.96%E -4.76%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 20:14
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.30%E -0.955%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.96%E -4.76%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 20:14
Marathon Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -4.30%E -0.955%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.64%EV -7.96%E -4.76%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.71%EV -7.42%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 20:15
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -4.30%E -0.955%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -9.06%E -5.49%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 17:14
LowVig.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -4.30%E -0.955%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -9.61%E -5.86%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 16:49
BetOnline.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -4.30%E -0.955%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -9.61%E -5.86%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 16:49
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -4.30%E -0.955%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.19%EV -9.61%E -5.86%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-28 20:15
1xBet4.46I 22.42%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -6.85%E -4.06%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.82%EV -7.42%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 20:20
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -6.43%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.09%EV -9.61%E -5.86%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-28 20:14
LiveScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.43%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.07%EV -10.71%E -6.61%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-28 20:09
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.43%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.07%EV -10.71%E -6.61%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-28 20:14
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -7.49%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.92%EV -11.26%E -7.00%K -18.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-28 20:10
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -7.91%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 16:54
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -7.91%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 16:55
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -7.91%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 16:54
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -7.91%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -7.96%E -4.76%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-28 20:16
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -7.91%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -10.71%E -6.61%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-28 20:19
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -8.55%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -6.85%E -4.06%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 17:24
PMU (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 20.65%EV -9.62%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.26%EV -14.02%E -8.99%K -25.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-28 20:10
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -10.68%E -2.54%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -3.55%E -2.03%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 17:03
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.68%E -2.54%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -11.26%E -7.00%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-28 19:39
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -11.74%E -2.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -3.55%E -2.03%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 17:04
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -11.74%E -2.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -3.55%E -2.03%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 17:04
BetUS4.14I 24.15%NM 22.43%EV -11.96%E -2.89%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -4.10%E -2.36%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.19%EV -9.31%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-28 20:34
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -12.81%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -4.10%E -2.36%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 16:54
Bet Victor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -12.81%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-28 17:29
betano_uk4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -12.81%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-28 17:28
NetBet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.76%EV -14.93%E -3.73%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.06%EV -11.26%E -7.00%K -18.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -14.98%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-28 18:33
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -16.00%E -4.05%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.59%EV -5.75%E -3.36%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -13.80%E -3.78%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-28 17:04
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -17.06%E -4.37%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 53.92%EV -11.82%E -7.38%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -14.98%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-28 20:15
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -18.12%E -4.71%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.77%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-28 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -19.19%E -5.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -4.65%E -2.69%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.98%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 16:59
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -19.19%E -5.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -4.65%E -2.69%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.98%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 16:55
Betclic (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 22.71%EV -19.19%E -5.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 52.63%EV -9.61%E -5.86%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.66%EV -17.34%E -4.95%K -6.94%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-28 17:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 22.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%13.3%2026-07-28 17:04