StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Wieczysta Kraków v Lech Poznań

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-01 15:30 UTC

Endstand: Wieczysta Kraków 1–2 Lech Poznań

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

51 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Wieczysta Kraków (Heim)

Prognose 28.49%3.51faire Quote
EV -0.291%
Vorteil -0.083%
Kelly -0.116%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.59%28.44%28.48%29.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.003.243.253.5033.33%30.82%30.77%28.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Lech Poznań (Auswärts)

Prognose 45.92%2.18faire Quote
EV -3.11%
Vorteil -1.48%
Kelly -2.80%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.11

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.57%46.09%45.93%48.28%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.831.982.002.1154.64%50.55%50.00%47.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 25.59%3.91faire Quote
EV +2.37%
Vorteil +0.594%
Kelly +0.792%
Wachstum +0.019%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.00%25.47%25.60%26.87%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.403.653.654.0029.41%27.39%27.40%25.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Wieczysta Kraków (Heim): 28.49%; Lech Poznań (Auswärts): 45.92%; Unentschieden: 25.59%. Für Unentschieden entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.91. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.37%.

Wettanbieterquoten (51 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -0.291%E -0.083%K -0.116%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +2.37%E +0.594%K +0.792%G +0.019%3.6%2026-08-01 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -0.291%E -0.083%K -0.116%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +2.37%E +0.594%K +0.792%G +0.019%3.6%2026-08-01 14:24
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.14%E -0.923%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 14:39
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 15:19
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 15:19
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 15:20
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 15:20
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 15:10
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 15:10
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 15:09
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 15:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 15:09
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.99%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.91%EV -11.84%E -6.17%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -2.74%E -0.722%K -0.980%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 15:20
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 15:05
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -12.76%E -6.71%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-01 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.95%EV -13.22%E -6.99%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 15:20
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 15:24
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -9.08%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -12.76%E -6.71%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -13.67%E -7.27%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 15:19
Pinnacle🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -3.14%E -0.923%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.61%EV -3.11%E -1.48%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.08%EV -5.56%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 15:05
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 15:19
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 15:19
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.02%EV -15.97%E -8.73%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-01 15:09
BetUS🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 27.82%EV -4.28%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.50%EV -7.70%E -3.83%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.68%EV -6.84%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 15:15
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.99%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 15:18
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 15:19
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 15:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 15:20
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -12.30%E -6.44%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-01 14:39
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -14.53%E -4.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -15.97%E -8.73%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-01 14:30
1xBet🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 28.32%EV -6.27%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -9.14%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 15:14
Marathon Bet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -6.56%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -6.79%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -9.14%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 15:19
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.36%EV -6.79%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 15:04
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.99%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 15:19
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 15:14
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.13%EV -11.84%E -6.17%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-01 15:19
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 15:04
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 15:05
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 15:19
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 15:19
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 15:14
NetBet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.31%EV -13.67%E -7.27%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-01 15:24
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-08-01 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-01 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-01 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-01 15:25
Smarkets◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-08-01 15:25
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-08-01 15:10