Language:English
Heerenveen v Excelsior
Head to Head
Heerenveen (Local)
Prediction 53.85%1.86fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.02%53.75%53.79%55.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.731.751.8162.11%57.73%57.31%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Excelsior (Visit)
Prediction 23.46%4.26fair odd
EV -0.751%
Edge -0.177%
Kelly -0.232%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.64%23.55%23.39%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.893.904.2328.17%25.70%25.64%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.68%4.41fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.412%
Kelly -0.536%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.51%22.70%22.81%24.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.074.104.3326.67%24.59%24.39%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Heerenveen (Local): 53.85%; Excelsior (Visit): 23.46%; Draw: 22.68%. For Excelsior (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.23, with an expected value of -0.751%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.08%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.08%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.08%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.88%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.20%EV -4.14%E -2.33%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.82%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.11%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.64%EV -0.751%E -0.177%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.25%EV -6.55%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.14%EV -5.22%E -2.96%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -8.96%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.76%EV -6.77%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.02%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.16%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.16%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.16%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -1.45%E -0.346%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.82%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.12%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -7.91%E -4.63%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -8.99%E -5.32%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -8.99%E -5.32%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -12.67%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -11.14%E -6.75%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.04%EV -11.14%E -6.75%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.98%EV -8.96%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.98%EV -11.99%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 52.65%EV -11.68%E -7.12%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%EV -16.71%E -4.71%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -14.94%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.13%EV -13.29%E -8.26%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-10-10 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63% | 12.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 169.5% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 169.5% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 169.5% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |