Idioma:Español
Heerenveen v Excelsior
Resultado del partido
Heerenveen (Local)
Predicción 53.85%1.86momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -3.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.02%53.75%53.79%55.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.611.731.741.8162.11%57.82%57.47%55.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Excelsior (Visitante)
Predicción 23.46%4.26momio equitativo
EV -0.751%
Ventaja -0.177%
Kelly -0.232%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.64%23.55%23.39%24.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.553.883.904.2328.17%25.75%25.64%23.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.68%4.41momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.412%
Kelly -0.536%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.51%22.70%22.81%24.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.064.104.3326.67%24.63%24.39%23.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Heerenveen (Local): 53.85%; Excelsior (Visitante): 23.46%; Empate: 22.68%. Para Excelsior (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.26. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 4.23, con un valor esperado de -0.751%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.08%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.08%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.08%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.88%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.20%EV -4.14%E -2.33%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.82%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.11%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.64%EV -0.751%E -0.177%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.25%EV -6.55%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.14%EV -5.22%E -2.96%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -8.96%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.76%EV -6.77%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.02%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.16%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.16%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.16%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -1.45%E -0.346%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.82%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.12%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -7.91%E -4.63%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -8.99%E -5.32%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -8.99%E -5.32%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -12.67%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -11.14%E -6.75%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.04%EV -11.14%E -6.75%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.98%EV -8.96%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.98%EV -11.99%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 52.65%EV -11.68%E -7.12%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%EV -16.71%E -4.71%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -14.94%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.30%EV -12.76%E -7.87%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.13%EV -13.29%E -8.26%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-10-10 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63% | 12.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 169.5% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 169.5% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 169.5% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |