Langue:Français
Heerenveen v Excelsior
Résultat du match
Heerenveen (Local)
Prévision 53.85%1.86cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -3.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.81
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.02%53.75%53.79%55.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.611.731.741.8162.11%57.82%57.47%55.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Excelsior (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.46%4.26cote équitable
EV -0.751%
Avantage -0.177%
Kelly -0.232%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.64%23.55%23.39%24.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.553.883.904.2328.17%25.75%25.64%23.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 22.68%4.41cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.412%
Kelly -0.536%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.51%22.70%22.81%24.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.064.104.3326.67%24.63%24.39%23.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Heerenveen (Local) : 53.85% ; Excelsior (Visiteur) : 23.46% ; Match nul : 22.68%. Pour Excelsior (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.26. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 4.23, pour une espérance de -0.751% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.08%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.08%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.08%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.88%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.20%EV -4.14%E -2.33%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.82%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.11%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.64%EV -0.751%E -0.177%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.25%EV -6.55%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.14%EV -5.22%E -2.96%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -8.96%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.76%EV -6.77%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.02%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.16%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.16%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.16%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -1.45%E -0.346%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.82%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.12%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -7.91%E -4.63%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -8.99%E -5.32%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -8.99%E -5.32%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -12.67%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -11.14%E -6.75%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.04%EV -11.14%E -6.75%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.98%EV -8.96%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.98%EV -11.99%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 52.65%EV -11.68%E -7.12%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%EV -16.71%E -4.71%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -14.94%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.30%EV -12.76%E -7.87%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.13%EV -13.29%E -8.26%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-10-10 18:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63% | 12.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 169.5% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 169.5% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 169.5% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |