StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Heerenveen v Excelsior

2026-10-16 18:00 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Wedstrijduitslag

41 wedaanbieders (11 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Heerenveen (Thuis)

Prognose 53.85%1.86margevrije odds
EV -2.52%
Voordeel -1.39%
Kelly -3.12%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.81

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
52.02%53.75%53.79%55.77%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.611.731.741.8162.11%57.82%57.47%55.25%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Excelsior (Uit)

Prognose 23.46%4.26margevrije odds
EV -0.751%
Voordeel -0.177%
Kelly -0.232%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 4.23

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
22.64%23.55%23.39%24.94%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.553.883.904.2328.17%25.75%25.64%23.64%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 22.68%4.41margevrije odds
EV -1.78%
Voordeel -0.412%
Kelly -0.536%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 4.33

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
21.51%22.70%22.81%24.12%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.754.064.104.3326.67%24.63%24.39%23.09%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Voor Wedstrijduitslag schat Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) de volgende kansen: Heerenveen (Thuis): 53.85%; Excelsior (Uit): 23.46%; Gelijkspel: 22.68%. Voor Excelsior (Uit) komt deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 4.26. Geen enkele geschikte wedaanbieder biedt odds boven dat niveau: de beste beschikbare odds zijn 4.23, met een verwachtingswaarde van -0.751%; ze leveren geen positieve verwachtingswaarde op.

Odds van wedaanbieders (41 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitGelijkspelMargeBijgewerkt
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.08%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.08%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.08%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.88%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.20%EV -4.14%E -2.33%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.82%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 14:00
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.11%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.64%EV -0.751%E -0.177%K -0.232%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.25%EV -6.55%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 14:01
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.14%EV -5.22%E -2.96%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -8.96%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.76%EV -6.77%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 14:01
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:00
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:01
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.02%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.16%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:01
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.16%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.16%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -1.45%E -0.346%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 14:00
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.82%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 14:01
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.12%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -7.91%E -4.63%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 14:01
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 14:01
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -8.99%E -5.32%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:01
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -8.99%E -5.32%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 14:01
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-10 14:01
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -12.67%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -11.14%E -6.75%K -17.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.04%EV -11.14%E -6.75%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.98%EV -8.96%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.98%EV -11.99%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-10 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.65%EV -11.68%E -7.12%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%EV -16.71%E -4.71%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -14.94%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.30%EV -12.76%E -7.87%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.13%EV -13.29%E -8.26%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-10 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (5)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%9.2%2026-10-10 19:40
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%12.9%2026-10-10 14:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%169.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%169.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%169.5%2026-10-10 14:01