StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Heerenveen v Excelsior

2026-10-16 18:00 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Matchresultat

41 spelbolag (11 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Heerenveen (Hemma)

Prognos 53.85%1.86rättvist odds
EV -2.52%
Fördel -1.39%
Kelly -3.12%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.81

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.02%53.75%53.79%55.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.611.731.741.8162.11%57.82%57.47%55.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Excelsior (Borta)

Prognos 23.46%4.26rättvist odds
EV -0.751%
Fördel -0.177%
Kelly -0.232%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.23

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.64%23.55%23.39%24.94%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.553.883.904.2328.17%25.75%25.64%23.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 22.68%4.41rättvist odds
EV -1.78%
Fördel -0.412%
Kelly -0.536%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.51%22.70%22.81%24.12%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.754.064.104.3326.67%24.63%24.39%23.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Heerenveen (Hemma): 53.85%; Excelsior (Borta): 23.46%; Oavgjort: 22.68%. För Excelsior (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.26. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 4.23, med väntevärdet -0.751%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (41 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.08%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.08%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.08%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.88%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.20%EV -4.14%E -2.33%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.82%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 14:00
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.11%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.64%EV -0.751%E -0.177%K -0.232%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.25%EV -6.55%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 14:01
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.14%EV -5.22%E -2.96%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -8.96%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.76%EV -6.77%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 14:01
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:00
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:01
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.02%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.16%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:01
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.16%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.16%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -1.45%E -0.346%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 14:00
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.82%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 14:01
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.12%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -7.91%E -4.63%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 14:01
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 14:01
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -8.99%E -5.32%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:01
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -8.99%E -5.32%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 14:01
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-10 14:01
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -12.67%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -11.14%E -6.75%K -17.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.04%EV -11.14%E -6.75%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.98%EV -8.96%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.98%EV -11.99%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-10 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.65%EV -11.68%E -7.12%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%EV -16.71%E -4.71%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -14.94%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.30%EV -12.76%E -7.87%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.13%EV -13.29%E -8.26%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-10 18:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%9.2%2026-10-10 19:40
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%12.9%2026-10-10 14:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%169.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%169.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%169.5%2026-10-10 14:01