StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Heerenveen v Excelsior

2026-10-16 18:00 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Direkter Vergleich

41 Wettanbieter (11 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Heerenveen (Heim)

Prognose 53.85%1.86faire Quote
EV -2.52%
Vorteil -1.39%
Kelly -3.12%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.81

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.02%53.75%53.79%55.77%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.611.731.741.8162.11%57.82%57.47%55.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Excelsior (Auswärts)

Prognose 23.46%4.26faire Quote
EV -0.751%
Vorteil -0.177%
Kelly -0.232%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.23

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.64%23.55%23.39%24.94%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.553.883.904.2328.17%25.75%25.64%23.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 22.68%4.41faire Quote
EV -1.78%
Vorteil -0.412%
Kelly -0.536%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.51%22.70%22.81%24.12%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.754.064.104.3326.67%24.63%24.39%23.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Heerenveen (Heim): 53.85%; Excelsior (Auswärts): 23.46%; Unentschieden: 22.68%. Für Excelsior (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.26. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 4.23, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.751%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (41 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.08%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.08%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.08%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.88%EV -3.60%E -2.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.20%EV -4.14%E -2.33%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.82%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 14:00
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.11%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.64%EV -0.751%E -0.177%K -0.232%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.25%EV -6.55%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 14:01
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -4.68%E -2.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.14%EV -5.22%E -2.96%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -8.96%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.76%EV -6.77%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 14:01
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:00
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 14:01
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.02%EV -5.76%E -3.29%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.16%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:01
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.16%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.16%EV -6.29%E -3.62%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -10.40%E -2.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -1.45%E -0.346%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 14:00
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.83%E -3.95%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.82%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 14:01
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.12%EV -7.37%E -4.29%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -7.91%E -4.63%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 14:01
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.45%E -4.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 14:01
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -8.99%E -5.32%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:01
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -8.99%E -5.32%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.46%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -3.80%E -0.927%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 14:01
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.06%E -6.03%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-10 14:01
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -10.60%E -6.39%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -14.36%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -12.67%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -11.14%E -6.75%K -17.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.04%EV -11.14%E -6.75%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.98%EV -8.96%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.98%EV -11.99%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-10 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.65%EV -11.68%E -7.12%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%EV -16.71%E -4.71%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -14.94%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.30%EV -12.76%E -7.87%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.13%EV -13.29%E -8.26%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-10 18:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%9.2%2026-10-10 19:40
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%12.9%2026-10-10 14:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%169.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%169.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%169.5%2026-10-10 14:01