The School of OddsAZ Alkmaar v ADO Den Haag
Head to Head
Option 1: AZ Alkmaar (Local)
Odds
1.5365.36%Min
1.6062.66%Mean
1.6162.11%Median
1.6660.24%Max
Consensus probabilities
56.34%1.775Min
58.49%1.710Max
57.70%1.733Mean
57.70%1.733Median
57.63%1.735IQM
57.77%1.731Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.66 under the IQM model: 57.63%
EV -4.33%Edge -2.61%Kelly -6.55%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: ADO Den Haag (Visit)
Odds
3.9525.32%Min
4.4822.34%Mean
4.6021.74%Median
4.8020.83%Max
Consensus probabilities
19.37%5.162Min
21.97%4.552Max
20.51%4.875Mean
20.44%4.892Median
20.48%4.883IQM
20.45%4.890Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.80 under the IQM model: 20.48%
EV -1.71%Edge -0.356%Kelly -0.450%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.7526.67%Min
4.1723.97%Mean
4.2523.53%Median
4.5022.22%Max
Consensus probabilities
20.78%4.813Min
23.02%4.344Max
21.78%4.590Mean
21.86%4.575Median
21.89%4.569IQM
21.78%4.591Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.50 under the IQM model: 21.89%
EV -1.50%Edge -0.334%Kelly -0.430%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | AZ Alkmaar (Local) ▼ | ADO Den Haag (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24% NM 57.90%EV -4.33% E -2.61% K -6.55% G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92% NM 20.11%EV -2.12% E -0.443% K -0.561% G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88% NM 21.99%EV -4.35% E -0.995% K -1.29% G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-06 13:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.26%EV -6.63% E -4.09% K -10.70% G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41% NM 19.26%EV +0.338% E +0.069% K +0.087% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.47%EV -8.07% E -1.92% K -2.52% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 11:14 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.21%EV -6.63% E -4.09% K -10.70% G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 19.85%EV -2.73% E -0.575% K -0.729% G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26% NM 21.93%EV -5.88% E -1.37% K -1.78% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 11:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.62I 61.73% NM 57.02%EV -6.63% E -4.09% K -10.70% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 20.99%EV -9.90% E -2.25% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.99%EV -8.07% E -1.92% K -2.52% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-06 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73% NM 56.88%EV -6.63% E -4.09% K -10.70% G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99% NM 21.18%EV -10.92% E -2.51% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.94%EV -8.07% E -1.92% K -2.52% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-06 11:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11% NM 57.97%EV -7.21% E -4.48% K -11.82% G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51% NM 20.07%EV -4.78% E -1.03% K -1.31% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.96%EV -6.98% E -1.64% K -2.15% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 13:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11% NM 57.84%EV -7.21% E -4.48% K -11.82% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.24%EV -5.80% E -1.26% K -1.61% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.91%EV -6.98% E -1.64% K -2.15% G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.61I 62.11% NM 57.84%EV -7.21% E -4.48% K -11.82% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.24%EV -5.80% E -1.26% K -1.61% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.91%EV -6.98% E -1.64% K -2.15% G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.61I 62.11% NM 57.84%EV -7.21% E -4.48% K -11.82% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.24%EV -5.80% E -1.26% K -1.61% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.91%EV -6.98% E -1.64% K -2.15% G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.61I 62.11% NM 57.84%EV -7.21% E -4.48% K -11.82% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.24%EV -5.80% E -1.26% K -1.61% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.91%EV -6.98% E -1.64% K -2.15% G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 14:14 |
| Casumo | 1.61I 62.11% NM 57.84%EV -7.21% E -4.48% K -11.82% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.24%EV -5.80% E -1.26% K -1.61% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.91%EV -6.98% E -1.64% K -2.15% G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 14:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.61I 62.11% NM 57.84%EV -7.21% E -4.48% K -11.82% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.24%EV -5.80% E -1.26% K -1.61% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.91%EV -6.98% E -1.64% K -2.15% G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.61I 62.11% NM 57.84%EV -7.21% E -4.48% K -11.82% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.24%EV -5.80% E -1.26% K -1.61% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.91%EV -6.98% E -1.64% K -2.15% G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 14:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.61I 62.11% NM 57.84%EV -7.21% E -4.48% K -11.82% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.24%EV -5.80% E -1.26% K -1.61% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.91%EV -6.98% E -1.64% K -2.15% G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 14:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50% NM 58.49%EV -7.78% E -4.87% K -12.97% G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83% NM 19.50%EV -1.71% E -0.356% K -0.450% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 22.02%EV -6.98% E -1.64% K -2.15% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 11:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50% NM 58.44%EV -7.78% E -4.87% K -12.97% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.78%EV -7.85% E -1.75% K -2.24% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.78%EV -1.50% E -0.334% K -0.430% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 11:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.60I 62.50% NM 56.76%EV -7.78% E -4.87% K -12.97% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.62%EV -14.00% E -3.33% K -4.37% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.62%EV -8.07% E -1.92% K -2.52% G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-06 11:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89% NM 58.49%EV -8.36% E -5.26% K -14.17% G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83% NM 19.37%EV -1.71% E -0.356% K -0.450% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.14%EV -8.07% E -1.92% K -2.52% G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-06 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29% NM 56.60%EV -8.94% E -5.66% K -15.41% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.04%EV -12.97% E -3.05% K -3.99% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.36%EV -12.45% E -3.11% K -4.15% G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-06 14:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29% NM 56.60%EV -8.94% E -5.66% K -15.41% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.04%EV -12.97% E -3.05% K -3.99% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.36%EV -12.45% E -3.11% K -4.15% G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-06 14:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69% NM 57.43%EV -9.51% E -6.06% K -16.69% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV -7.85% E -1.75% K -2.24% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.54%EV -12.45% E -3.11% K -4.15% G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-06 11:53 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 56.76%EV -9.51% E -6.06% K -16.69% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 20.97%EV -12.97% E -3.05% K -3.99% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.28%EV -12.45% E -3.11% K -4.15% G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-06 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94% NM 56.34%EV -11.24% E -7.30% K -20.82% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 21.97%EV -19.12% E -4.84% K -6.48% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 21.69%EV -12.45% E -3.11% K -4.15% G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-07-06 11:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36% NM 56.42%EV -11.82% E -7.72% K -22.30% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 20.55%EV -14.00% E -3.33% K -4.37% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 23.02%EV -17.92% E -4.78% K -6.52% G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-07-06 11:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36% NM 56.34%EV -11.82% E -7.72% K -22.30% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 21.55%EV -18.09% E -4.52% K -6.03% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 22.10%EV -14.64% E -3.75% K -5.05% G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-07-06 11:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | AZ Alkmaar (Local) | ADO Den Haag (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.01I 99.01% | 191.3% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.01I 99.01% | 191.3% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.01I 99.01% | 191.3% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |