The School of Odds

AZ Alkmaar v ADO Den Haag

2026-08-08 19:00 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

AZ Alkmaar (Local)

Prediction 63.69%1.57fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -4.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.16%63.42%63.90%65.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.331.461.471.5375.19%68.39%68.03%65.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

ADO Den Haag (Visit)

Prediction 16.30%6.14fair odd
EV +4.29%
Edge +0.671%
Kelly +0.795%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 6.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.85%16.47%16.09%19.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.705.535.506.4021.28%18.09%18.18%15.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 20.02%5.00fair odd
EV +0.094%
Edge +0.019%
Kelly +0.023%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.06%20.11%20.00%21.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.054.584.705.0024.69%21.84%21.28%20.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.85%EV +4.29%E +0.671%K +0.795%G +0.034%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -10.92%E -2.45%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 20:35
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.85%EV +4.29%E +0.671%K +0.795%G +0.034%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -10.92%E -2.45%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 20:30
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.74%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV +1.85%E +0.296%K +0.352%G +0.007%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.91%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 04:10
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.80%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.54%EV +0.545%E +0.088%K +0.105%G +0.001%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.65%EV -2.31%E -0.473%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 03:16
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 64.87%EV -7.02%E -4.81%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.53%EV -0.596%E -0.098%K -0.117%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.61%EV -3.31%E -0.685%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 21:39
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.04%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -2.23%E -0.371%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-23 07:19
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -2.23%E -0.371%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -3.91%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 02:05
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -2.23%E -0.371%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -3.91%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 21:39
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -2.23%E -0.371%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -4.91%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 09:05
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -2.23%E -0.371%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -4.91%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 18:10
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -2.23%E -0.371%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -4.91%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 03:09
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -8.93%E -6.24%K -20.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -2.23%E -0.371%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -3.91%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 02:05
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -2.23%E -0.371%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 19:30
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -5.48%E -0.946%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.91%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 08:00
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -6.30%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV +0.094%E +0.019%K +0.023%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 20:05
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -6.30%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 19:30
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.62%EV -2.56%E -1.67%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.96%EV -3.91%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 23:04
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -2.56%E -1.67%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -4.91%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 23:04
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 19:55
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 19:55
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 19:55
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 19:55
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 19:55
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 19:55
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 19:55
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 19:55
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 19:55
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 20:00
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -9.92%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-22 02:00
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.23%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -12.00%E -2.22%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -9.92%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 05:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.57%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -14.45%E -2.75%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -3.91%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 23:04
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.65%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -14.45%E -2.75%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.97%EV -12.92%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 04:59
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 61.82%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -16.89%E -3.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.61%EV -12.92%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-25 19:55
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 61.82%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -16.89%E -3.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.61%EV -12.92%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-25 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.98%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -16.89%E -3.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.52%EV -12.92%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 19:55
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 63.08%EV -15.30%E -11.50%K -46.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.45%EV -16.89%E -3.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.46%EV -17.92%E -4.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-25 19:55
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -18.52%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.32%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 19:30
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -18.52%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.32%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 19:30
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -18.52%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.32%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 19:30
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -18.52%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.32%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 19:30
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.93%EV -8.93%E -6.24%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -18.52%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.36%EV -12.92%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-25 19:55
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -18.52%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -15.92%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-22 02:00
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.79%EV -8.93%E -6.24%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.74%EV -20.15%E -4.11%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.47%EV -18.92%E -4.67%K -6.20%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-25 05:00
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -22.60%E -4.76%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -13.32%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 19:55
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.80%EV -8.93%E -6.24%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.50%EV -23.41%E -4.98%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.70%EV -15.92%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-25 05:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-07-26 03:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-07-26 05:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-07-26 03:15
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.12%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.68%2.9%2026-07-26 08:20