L’École des cotes

AZ Alkmaar v ADO Den Haag

2026-08-08 19:00 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

AZ Alkmaar (Local)

Prévision 63.69%1.57cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -1.67%
Kelly -4.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.16%63.42%63.90%65.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.461.471.5375.19%68.39%68.03%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

ADO Den Haag (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.30%6.14cote équitable
EV +4.29%
Avantage +0.671%
Kelly +0.795%
Croissance +0.034%

avec la cote maximale 6.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.85%16.47%16.09%19.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.705.535.506.4021.28%18.09%18.18%15.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.02%5.00cote équitable
EV +0.094%
Avantage +0.019%
Kelly +0.023%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.06%20.11%20.00%21.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.054.584.705.0024.69%21.84%21.28%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.85%EV +4.29%E +0.671%K +0.795%G +0.034%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -10.92%E -2.45%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 20:35
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.85%EV +4.29%E +0.671%K +0.795%G +0.034%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -10.92%E -2.45%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 20:30
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.74%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV +1.85%E +0.296%K +0.352%G +0.007%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.91%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 04:10
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.80%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.54%EV +0.545%E +0.088%K +0.105%G +0.001%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.65%EV -2.31%E -0.473%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 03:16
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 64.87%EV -7.02%E -4.81%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.53%EV -0.596%E -0.098%K -0.117%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.61%EV -3.31%E -0.685%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 21:39
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.04%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -2.23%E -0.371%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-23 07:19
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -2.23%E -0.371%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -3.91%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 02:05
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -2.23%E -0.371%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -3.91%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 21:39
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -2.23%E -0.371%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -4.91%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 09:05
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -2.23%E -0.371%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -4.91%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 18:10
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -2.23%E -0.371%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -4.91%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 03:09
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -8.93%E -6.24%K -20.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -2.23%E -0.371%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -3.91%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 02:05
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -2.23%E -0.371%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 19:30
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -5.48%E -0.946%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.91%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 17:50
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -6.30%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV +0.094%E +0.019%K +0.023%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 20:05
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -6.30%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 19:30
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.62%EV -2.56%E -1.67%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.96%EV -3.91%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 23:04
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -2.56%E -1.67%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -4.91%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 23:04
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 19:55
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 19:55
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 19:55
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 19:55
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 19:55
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 19:55
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 19:55
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 19:55
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 19:55
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 20:00
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -9.92%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-22 02:00
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.23%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -12.00%E -2.22%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -9.92%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 05:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.57%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -14.45%E -2.75%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -3.91%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 23:04
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.65%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -14.45%E -2.75%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.97%EV -12.92%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 04:59
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 61.82%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -16.89%E -3.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.61%EV -12.92%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-25 19:55
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 61.82%EV -7.66%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -16.89%E -3.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.61%EV -12.92%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-25 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.98%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -16.89%E -3.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.52%EV -12.92%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 19:55
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 63.08%EV -15.30%E -11.50%K -46.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.45%EV -16.89%E -3.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.46%EV -17.92%E -4.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-25 19:55
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -18.52%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.32%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 19:30
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -18.52%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.32%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 19:30
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -18.52%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.32%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 19:30
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -18.52%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.32%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 19:30
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.93%EV -8.93%E -6.24%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -18.52%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.36%EV -12.92%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-25 19:55
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -18.52%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -15.92%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-22 02:00
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.79%EV -8.93%E -6.24%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.74%EV -20.15%E -4.11%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.47%EV -18.92%E -4.67%K -6.20%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-25 05:00
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -22.60%E -4.76%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -13.32%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 19:55
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.80%EV -8.93%E -6.24%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.50%EV -23.41%E -4.98%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.70%EV -15.92%E -3.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-25 05:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-07-25 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-07-25 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-07-25 17:45
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.12%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.68%2.9%2026-07-25 18:05