StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

AZ Alkmaar v ADO Den Haag

Matchstart: 2026-08-08 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: AZ Alkmaar 2–0 ADO Den Haag

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

AZ Alkmaar (Hemma)

Prognos 69.19%1.45rättvist odds
EV -3.14%
Fördel -2.24%
Kelly -7.85%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
66.95%69.15%69.16%72.21%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.271.341.351.4078.74%74.45%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

ADO Den Haag (Borta)

Prognos 12.39%8.07rättvist odds
EV +11.48%
Fördel +1.28%
Kelly +1.44%
Tillväxt +0.165%

med antagandet om högsta odds 9.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
10.83%12.44%12.38%14.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.507.597.509.0015.38%13.18%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 18.43%5.43rättvist odds
EV +5.96%
Fördel +1.04%
Kelly +1.25%
Tillväxt +0.075%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.95%18.41%18.47%20.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.605.095.005.7521.74%19.66%20.00%17.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: AZ Alkmaar (Hemma): 69.19%; ADO Den Haag (Borta): 12.39%; Oavgjort: 18.43%. För ADO Den Haag (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 8.07. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 9.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +11.48%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.21%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.86%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.83%EV +11.48%E +1.28%K +1.44%G +0.165%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.95%EV +5.96%E +1.04%K +1.25%G +0.075%2.6%2026-08-08 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.21%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.86%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.83%EV +11.48%E +1.28%K +1.44%G +0.165%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.95%EV +5.96%E +1.04%K +1.25%G +0.075%2.6%2026-08-08 18:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.21%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.86%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.83%EV +11.48%E +1.28%K +1.44%G +0.165%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.95%EV +5.96%E +1.04%K +1.25%G +0.075%2.6%2026-08-08 18:49
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.84%EV -3.83%E -2.76%K -9.83%G +0.000%8.64I 11.57%NM 11.24%EV +7.02%E +0.813%K +0.919%G +0.065%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.92%EV -5.47%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 18:54
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV +5.29%E +0.622%K +0.705%G +0.037%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.35%E +0.246%K +0.301%G +0.004%5.1%2026-08-08 18:49
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.905%E -0.113%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.35%E +0.246%K +0.301%G +0.004%5.9%2026-08-08 18:54
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.905%E -0.113%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.35%E +0.246%K +0.301%G +0.004%5.9%2026-08-08 18:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -8.68%E -6.57%K -27.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -0.905%E -0.113%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -0.490%E -0.091%K -0.111%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 18:50
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -8.68%E -6.57%K -27.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -0.905%E -0.113%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -0.490%E -0.091%K -0.111%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 18:50
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -8.68%E -6.57%K -27.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -0.905%E -0.113%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -0.490%E -0.091%K -0.111%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 18:54
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -8.68%E -6.57%K -27.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -0.905%E -0.113%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -3.25%E -0.620%K -0.766%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.93I 12.61%NM 12.08%EV -1.77%E -0.224%K -0.256%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.52%EV -4.73%E -0.914%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 18:45
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -3.83%E -2.76%K -9.83%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.19%EV -3.38%E -0.434%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -9.70%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 13:49
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -3.83%E -2.76%K -9.83%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.19%EV -3.38%E -0.434%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -9.70%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.00%EV -3.38%E -0.434%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -2.33%E -0.440%K -0.542%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.25%EV -4.00%E -0.516%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 16:15
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.17%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV -5.86%E -0.771%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.17%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV -5.86%E -0.771%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.17%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV -5.86%E -0.771%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:34
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.17%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV -5.86%E -0.771%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.14%E -2.24%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 18:04
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.14%E -2.24%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 16:35
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.14%E -2.24%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 18:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.27%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -3.25%E -0.620%K -0.766%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:14
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -3.25%E -0.620%K -0.766%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 11:32
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:35
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 18:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.09%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -6.94%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:49
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 16:14
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -3.25%E -0.620%K -0.766%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -11.55%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 18:55
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -11.55%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -11.55%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 18:54
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.54%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 18:50
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -10.06%E -7.74%K -33.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 18:29
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -10.06%E -7.74%K -33.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -11.44%E -8.94%K -40.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -11.44%E -8.94%K -40.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -11.44%E -8.94%K -40.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 18:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -12.13%E -9.55%K -44.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.10%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -10.20%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -15.23%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.29%EV -11.44%E -8.94%K -40.87%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.23%EV -10.20%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.48%EV -11.55%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.09%EV -10.81%E -1.50%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -4.18%E -0.803%K -0.994%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 13:54
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -13.29%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -11.55%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 17:50
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.29%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -9.70%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:15
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -13.29%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.06%E -7.74%K -33.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -13.29%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.47%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.06%E -7.74%K -33.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -13.29%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.47%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 18:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.79%EV -10.06%E -7.74%K -33.53%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.96%EV -14.53%E -2.11%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.25%EV -9.70%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 18:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.08%EV -7.29%E -5.44%K -21.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -12.47%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 10:25
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -15.23%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 16:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.99%9.09I 11.00%NM 11.01%5.56I 17.99%NM 18.00%-0.1%2026-08-08 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-08-08 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-08-08 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-08-08 18:55
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-08-08 18:55
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-08-08 18:55