StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

AZ Alkmaar v ADO Den Haag

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-08 19:00 UTC

Endstand: AZ Alkmaar 2–0 ADO Den Haag

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

54 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

AZ Alkmaar (Heim)

Prognose 69.19%1.45faire Quote
EV -3.14%
Vorteil -2.24%
Kelly -7.85%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
66.95%69.15%69.16%72.21%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.271.341.351.4078.74%74.45%74.07%71.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

ADO Den Haag (Auswärts)

Prognose 12.39%8.07faire Quote
EV +11.48%
Vorteil +1.28%
Kelly +1.44%
Wachstum +0.165%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
10.83%12.44%12.38%14.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
6.507.597.509.0015.38%13.18%13.33%11.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 18.43%5.43faire Quote
EV +5.96%
Vorteil +1.04%
Kelly +1.25%
Wachstum +0.075%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.95%18.41%18.47%20.13%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.605.095.005.7521.74%19.66%20.00%17.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: AZ Alkmaar (Heim): 69.19%; ADO Den Haag (Auswärts): 12.39%; Unentschieden: 18.43%. Für ADO Den Haag (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 8.07. 5 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 9.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +11.48%.

Wettanbieterquoten (54 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.21%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.86%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.83%EV +11.48%E +1.28%K +1.44%G +0.165%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.95%EV +5.96%E +1.04%K +1.25%G +0.075%2.6%2026-08-08 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.21%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.86%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.83%EV +11.48%E +1.28%K +1.44%G +0.165%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.95%EV +5.96%E +1.04%K +1.25%G +0.075%2.6%2026-08-08 18:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.21%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.86%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.83%EV +11.48%E +1.28%K +1.44%G +0.165%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.95%EV +5.96%E +1.04%K +1.25%G +0.075%2.6%2026-08-08 18:49
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.84%EV -3.83%E -2.76%K -9.83%G +0.000%8.64I 11.57%NM 11.24%EV +7.02%E +0.813%K +0.919%G +0.065%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.92%EV -5.47%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 18:54
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV +5.29%E +0.622%K +0.705%G +0.037%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.35%E +0.246%K +0.301%G +0.004%5.1%2026-08-08 18:49
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.905%E -0.113%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.35%E +0.246%K +0.301%G +0.004%5.9%2026-08-08 18:54
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.905%E -0.113%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.35%E +0.246%K +0.301%G +0.004%5.9%2026-08-08 18:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -8.68%E -6.57%K -27.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -0.905%E -0.113%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -0.490%E -0.091%K -0.111%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 18:50
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -8.68%E -6.57%K -27.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -0.905%E -0.113%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -0.490%E -0.091%K -0.111%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 18:50
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -8.68%E -6.57%K -27.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -0.905%E -0.113%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -0.490%E -0.091%K -0.111%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 18:54
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -8.68%E -6.57%K -27.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -0.905%E -0.113%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -3.25%E -0.620%K -0.766%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.93I 12.61%NM 12.08%EV -1.77%E -0.224%K -0.256%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.52%EV -4.73%E -0.914%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 18:45
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -3.83%E -2.76%K -9.83%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.19%EV -3.38%E -0.434%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -9.70%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 13:49
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -3.83%E -2.76%K -9.83%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.19%EV -3.38%E -0.434%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -9.70%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.00%EV -3.38%E -0.434%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -2.33%E -0.440%K -0.542%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.25%EV -4.00%E -0.516%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 16:15
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.17%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV -5.86%E -0.771%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.17%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV -5.86%E -0.771%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.17%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV -5.86%E -0.771%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:34
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.17%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV -5.86%E -0.771%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.14%E -2.24%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 18:04
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.14%E -2.24%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 16:35
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.14%E -2.24%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 18:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.27%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -3.25%E -0.620%K -0.766%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:14
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -3.25%E -0.620%K -0.766%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 11:32
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:35
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 18:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.09%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -6.94%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:49
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 16:14
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -3.25%E -0.620%K -0.766%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -11.55%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 18:55
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -11.55%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -11.55%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 18:54
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.54%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 18:50
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -10.06%E -7.74%K -33.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 18:29
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -10.06%E -7.74%K -33.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -11.44%E -8.94%K -40.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -11.44%E -8.94%K -40.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -11.44%E -8.94%K -40.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 18:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -12.13%E -9.55%K -44.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.10%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -10.20%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -15.23%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.29%EV -11.44%E -8.94%K -40.87%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.23%EV -10.20%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.48%EV -11.55%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.09%EV -10.81%E -1.50%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -4.18%E -0.803%K -0.994%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 13:54
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -13.29%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -11.55%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 17:50
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.29%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -9.70%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:15
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -13.29%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.06%E -7.74%K -33.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -13.29%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.47%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.06%E -7.74%K -33.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -13.29%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.47%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 18:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.79%EV -10.06%E -7.74%K -33.53%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.96%EV -14.53%E -2.11%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.25%EV -9.70%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 18:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.08%EV -7.29%E -5.44%K -21.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -12.47%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 10:25
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -15.23%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 16:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.99%9.09I 11.00%NM 11.01%5.56I 17.99%NM 18.00%-0.1%2026-08-08 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-08-08 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-08-08 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-08-08 18:55
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-08-08 18:55
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-08-08 18:55