默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

AZ Alkmaar v ADO Den Haag

开赛时间: 2026-08-08 19:00 UTC

最终结果: AZ Alkmaar 2–0 ADO Den Haag

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

54 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

AZ Alkmaar (主队)

预测 69.19%1.45公平赔率
EV -3.14%
优势 -2.24%
Kelly -7.85%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.40

博彩公司预测分布
66.95%69.15%69.16%72.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.271.341.351.4078.74%74.45%74.07%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值

ADO Den Haag (客队)

预测 12.39%8.07公平赔率
EV +11.48%
优势 +1.28%
Kelly +1.44%
增长率 +0.165%

假设最高赔率为 9.00

博彩公司预测分布
10.83%12.44%12.38%14.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.507.597.509.0015.38%13.18%13.33%11.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 18.43%5.43公平赔率
EV +5.96%
优势 +1.04%
Kelly +1.25%
增长率 +0.075%

假设最高赔率为 5.75

博彩公司预测分布
16.95%18.41%18.47%20.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.095.005.7521.74%19.66%20.00%17.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:AZ Alkmaar (主队):69.19%;ADO Den Haag (客队):12.39%;平局:18.43%。 对于“ADO Den Haag (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.07。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为9.00,对应+11.48%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.21%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.86%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.83%EV +11.48%E +1.28%K +1.44%G +0.165%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.95%EV +5.96%E +1.04%K +1.25%G +0.075%2.6%2026-08-08 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.21%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.86%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.83%EV +11.48%E +1.28%K +1.44%G +0.165%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.95%EV +5.96%E +1.04%K +1.25%G +0.075%2.6%2026-08-08 18:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.21%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.86%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.83%EV +11.48%E +1.28%K +1.44%G +0.165%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.95%EV +5.96%E +1.04%K +1.25%G +0.075%2.6%2026-08-08 18:49
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.84%EV -3.83%E -2.76%K -9.83%G +0.000%8.64I 11.57%NM 11.24%EV +7.02%E +0.813%K +0.919%G +0.065%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.92%EV -5.47%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 18:54
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV +5.29%E +0.622%K +0.705%G +0.037%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.35%E +0.246%K +0.301%G +0.004%5.1%2026-08-08 18:49
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.905%E -0.113%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.35%E +0.246%K +0.301%G +0.004%5.9%2026-08-08 18:54
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.905%E -0.113%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.35%E +0.246%K +0.301%G +0.004%5.9%2026-08-08 18:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -8.68%E -6.57%K -27.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -0.905%E -0.113%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -0.490%E -0.091%K -0.111%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 18:50
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -8.68%E -6.57%K -27.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -0.905%E -0.113%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -0.490%E -0.091%K -0.111%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 18:50
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -8.68%E -6.57%K -27.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -0.905%E -0.113%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -0.490%E -0.091%K -0.111%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 18:54
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -8.68%E -6.57%K -27.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -0.905%E -0.113%K -0.129%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -3.25%E -0.620%K -0.766%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.93I 12.61%NM 12.08%EV -1.77%E -0.224%K -0.256%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.52%EV -4.73%E -0.914%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 18:45
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -3.83%E -2.76%K -9.83%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.19%EV -3.38%E -0.434%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -9.70%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 13:49
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -3.83%E -2.76%K -9.83%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.19%EV -3.38%E -0.434%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -9.70%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.00%EV -3.38%E -0.434%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -2.33%E -0.440%K -0.542%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.77%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.25%EV -4.00%E -0.516%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 16:15
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.17%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV -5.86%E -0.771%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.17%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV -5.86%E -0.771%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.17%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV -5.86%E -0.771%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:34
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.17%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV -5.86%E -0.771%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.14%E -2.24%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 18:04
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.14%E -2.24%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 16:35
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.14%E -2.24%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 18:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.27%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -3.25%E -0.620%K -0.766%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:14
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -3.25%E -0.620%K -0.766%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 11:32
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:35
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 18:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.09%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -6.94%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:49
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 16:14
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -3.25%E -0.620%K -0.766%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -11.55%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 18:55
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -11.55%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -11.55%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 18:54
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.54%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 18:50
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -10.06%E -7.74%K -33.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 18:29
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -10.06%E -7.74%K -33.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -11.44%E -8.94%K -40.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -11.44%E -8.94%K -40.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -11.44%E -8.94%K -40.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 18:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -12.13%E -9.55%K -44.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -7.10%E -0.947%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.10%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -10.20%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -15.23%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.29%EV -11.44%E -8.94%K -40.87%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.23%EV -10.20%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.48%EV -11.55%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.09%EV -10.81%E -1.50%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -4.18%E -0.803%K -0.994%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 13:54
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -13.29%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -11.55%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 17:50
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.29%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -9.70%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:15
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -13.29%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -7.86%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.06%E -7.74%K -33.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -13.29%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.47%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.06%E -7.74%K -33.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -13.29%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.47%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 18:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.79%EV -10.06%E -7.74%K -33.53%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.96%EV -14.53%E -2.11%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.25%EV -9.70%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 18:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.08%EV -7.29%E -5.44%K -21.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -12.47%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 10:25
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -7.98%E -6.00%K -24.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -19.49%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -15.23%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 16:54
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.99%9.09I 11.00%NM 11.01%5.56I 17.99%NM 18.00%-0.1%2026-08-08 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-08-08 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-08-08 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-08-08 18:55
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-08-08 18:55
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.83%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%0.8%2026-08-08 18:55