Language:English
Ajax v Excelsior
Head to Head
Ajax (Local)
Prediction 69.71%1.43fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -3.28%
Kelly -12.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.66%69.73%69.81%71.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.321.331.3778.74%75.76%75.47%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Excelsior (Visit)
Prediction 12.57%7.96fair odd
EV +0.553%
Edge +0.069%
Kelly +0.079%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.74%12.62%12.48%14.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.137.208.0016.67%14.02%13.89%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.72%5.64fair odd
EV +0.980%
Edge +0.172%
Kelly +0.209%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 5.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.36%17.65%17.71%18.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.655.145.005.7021.51%19.45%20.00%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ajax (Local): 69.71%; Excelsior (Visit): 12.57%; Draw: 17.72%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.64. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.70, producing a positive expected value of +0.980%.
Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.20%EV -8.67%E -6.62%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -5.73%E -0.764%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.36%EV +0.980%E +0.172%K +0.209%G +0.002% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 19:28 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.17%EV -7.98%E -6.04%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV +0.553%E +0.069%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -2.56%E -0.466%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 19:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -7.28%E -5.47%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -5.73%E -0.764%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.56%E -0.466%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.19%EV -4.49%E -3.28%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.17%EV -0.704%E -0.089%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.64%EV -3.45%E -0.633%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.24%EV -7.28%E -5.47%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -5.73%E -0.764%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -4.33%E -0.803%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.01%EV -7.28%E -5.47%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.25%EV -4.47%E -0.589%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.28%E -5.47%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -5.73%E -0.764%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.99%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 18:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -7.28%E -5.47%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.52%EV -6.99%E -0.944%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -7.88%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 18:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -5.19%E -3.81%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -12.02%E -1.72%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 19:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -5.19%E -3.81%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -12.02%E -1.72%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 19:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -5.19%E -3.81%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -12.02%E -1.72%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 19:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -5.19%E -3.81%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -12.02%E -1.72%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 19:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -9.37%E -7.21%K -31.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -12.02%E -1.72%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.46%EV -10.76%E -8.41%K -38.45%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.02%EV -21.44%E -3.43%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.52%EV -11.42%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-06 18:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.67%EV -10.76%E -8.41%K -38.45%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.02%EV -15.16%E -2.25%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.31%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-06 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 67.74%EV -11.46%E -9.03%K -42.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.34%EV -24.59%E -4.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.92%EV -14.96%E -3.12%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-09-06 18:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 67.93%EV -10.76%E -8.41%K -38.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.38%EV -18.30%E -2.82%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.70%EV -17.62%E -3.79%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-06 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.70%EV -9.37%E -7.21%K -31.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.45%EV -24.59%E -4.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.85%EV -18.51%E -4.02%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-09-06 18:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.