預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Ajax v Excelsior

2026-09-19 18:00 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

獨贏

18 家博彩公司 (7 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Ajax (主隊)

預測 69.72%1.43公平賠率
EV -4.48%
優勢 -3.27%
Kelly -12.10%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.37

博彩公司預測分布
67.66%69.72%69.81%71.49%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.271.311.331.3778.74%76.08%75.47%72.99%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Excelsior (客隊)

預測 12.56%7.96公平賠率
EV +0.455%
優勢 +0.057%
Kelly +0.065%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 8.00

博彩公司預測分布
11.74%12.58%12.48%14.34%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
6.007.137.208.0016.67%14.02%13.89%12.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 17.72%5.64公平賠率
EV +0.995%
優勢 +0.175%
Kelly +0.212%
成長率 +0.002%

假設最高賠率為 5.70

博彩公司預測分布
16.36%17.69%17.71%19.08%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.655.105.005.7021.51%19.62%20.00%17.54%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為:Ajax (主隊):69.72%;Excelsior (客隊):12.56%;和局:17.72%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於5.64的公平十進位賠率。 有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率;目前最佳賠率為5.70,因此產生+0.995%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (18 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊和局 ▼利潤率更新時間
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.49%EV -8.66%E -6.61%K -27.94%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.08%EV -2.68%E -0.346%K -0.398%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV +0.995%E +0.175%K +0.212%G +0.002%6.8%2026-09-06 19:30
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.20%EV -8.66%E -6.61%K -27.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -5.82%E -0.777%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.36%EV +0.995%E +0.175%K +0.212%G +0.002%7.2%2026-09-06 19:28
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.17%EV -7.96%E -6.03%K -24.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV +0.455%E +0.057%K +0.065%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -2.55%E -0.463%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 19:30
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -5.82%E -0.777%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.55%E -0.463%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 18:30
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.19%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.10%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.17%EV -0.801%E -0.101%K -0.116%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.64%EV -3.43%E -0.630%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 19:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.01%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.25%EV -4.57%E -0.601%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.98%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 19:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -5.82%E -0.777%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.98%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 18:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.52%EV -7.08%E -0.957%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -7.86%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 18:05
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.06%E -7.79%K -34.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.82%E -0.777%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.46%EV -10.75%E -8.40%K -38.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.02%EV -21.52%E -3.44%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.52%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-06 18:04
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.84%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -12.10%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -14.95%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 19:54
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -12.10%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -14.95%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -12.10%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -14.95%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -12.10%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -14.95%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 19:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.67%EV -10.75%E -8.40%K -38.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.02%EV -15.24%E -2.26%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.31%EV -14.95%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 67.74%EV -11.45%E -9.02%K -42.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.34%EV -24.66%E -4.11%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.92%EV -14.95%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-06 18:05
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 67.66%EV -10.06%E -7.79%K -34.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.97%EV -21.52%E -3.44%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.38%EV -15.84%E -3.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-06 19:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 67.93%EV -10.75%E -8.40%K -38.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.38%EV -18.38%E -2.83%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.70%EV -17.61%E -3.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-06 18:05
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。