Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Ajax v Excelsior

Początek: 2026-09-19 18:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Ajax 2–2 Excelsior

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Ajax (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 76.49%1.31kurs godziwy
EV -2.86%
Przewaga -2.25%
Kelly -10.59%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.27

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
74.25%76.44%76.41%78.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.171.221.221.2785.47%82.04%81.97%78.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Excelsior (Goście)

Prognoza 9.41%10.63kurs godziwy
EV +14.82%
Przewaga +1.22%
Kelly +1.32%
Wzrost +0.196%

przy maksymalnym kursie 12.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
7.88%9.45%9.40%11.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
8.0010.1210.0012.2012.50%9.88%10.00%8.20%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 14.10%7.09kurs godziwy
EV +2.93%
Przewaga +0.401%
Kelly +0.465%
Wzrost +0.014%

przy maksymalnym kursie 7.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
13.02%14.12%14.19%15.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.806.516.507.3017.24%15.36%15.38%13.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Ajax (Gospodarze): 76.49%; Excelsior (Goście): 9.41%; Remis: 14.10%. Dla wyniku Excelsior (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 10.63. 13 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 12.20, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +14.82%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.53%EV -5.15%E -4.16%K -21.48%G +0.000%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.88%EV +14.82%E +1.22%K +1.32%G +0.196%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.59%EV -7.08%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.15%EV -3.62%E -2.88%K -13.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.45%EV +8.24%E +0.716%K +0.784%G +0.065%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV -4.83%E -0.715%K -0.839%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-19 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.15%EV -3.62%E -2.88%K -13.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.45%EV +8.24%E +0.716%K +0.784%G +0.065%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV -4.83%E -0.715%K -0.839%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-19 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.29%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.56%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +8.24%E +0.716%K +0.784%G +0.065%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV -4.83%E -0.715%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 17:55
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +8.24%E +0.716%K +0.784%G +0.065%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -1.30%E -0.186%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 17:45
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +8.24%E +0.716%K +0.784%G +0.065%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -1.30%E -0.186%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 17:44
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.46%EV -5.15%E -4.16%K -21.48%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.24%EV +8.24%E +0.716%K +0.784%G +0.065%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.29%EV -12.58%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.14%EV -8.98%E -7.55%K -47.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +8.24%E +0.716%K +0.784%G +0.065%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.83%E -0.715%K -0.839%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 17:54
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.19%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.74%G +0.000%11.27I 8.87%NM 8.32%EV +6.07%E +0.539%K +0.591%G +0.036%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.49%EV -14.70%E -2.43%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.84%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.74%G +0.000%11.06I 9.04%NM 8.66%EV +4.09%E +0.370%K +0.407%G +0.017%7.09I 14.10%NM 13.50%EV -0.033%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 17:49
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.28%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +3.53%E +0.321%K +0.353%G +0.012%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV -4.83%E -0.715%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 17:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.42%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV +3.53%E +0.321%K +0.353%G +0.012%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -4.83%E -0.715%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 17:39
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +3.53%E +0.321%K +0.353%G +0.012%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 17:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.92%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -1.18%E -0.112%K -0.124%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.02%EV +2.93%E +0.401%K +0.465%G +0.014%5.2%2026-09-19 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.92%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -1.18%E -0.112%K -0.124%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.02%EV +2.93%E +0.401%K +0.465%G +0.014%5.2%2026-09-19 17:34
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.92%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -1.18%E -0.112%K -0.124%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.02%EV +2.93%E +0.401%K +0.465%G +0.014%5.2%2026-09-19 17:34
BetAnything🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.92%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -1.18%E -0.112%K -0.124%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.02%EV +2.93%E +0.401%K +0.465%G +0.014%5.2%2026-09-19 17:34
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.40%EV -5.15%E -4.16%K -21.48%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV -1.18%E -0.112%K -0.124%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.21%E -6.84%K -41.07%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -1.18%E -0.112%K -0.124%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -1.30%E -0.186%K -0.217%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 17:49
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.74%E -8.26%K -54.13%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -1.18%E -0.112%K -0.124%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -1.30%E -0.186%K -0.217%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 17:54
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.06%EV -5.15%E -4.16%K -21.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 17:44
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -1.30%E -0.186%K -0.217%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 17:35
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.76%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -4.83%E -0.715%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 17:55
Casumo🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 17:55
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 17:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 17:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.83%EV -7.45%E -6.16%K -35.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.88%EV -5.53%E -0.826%K -0.971%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 17:49
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.49%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.22%EV -13.99%E -2.29%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 17:54
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 17:55
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 17:55
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -8.21%E -6.84%K -41.07%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 17:39
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -8.21%E -6.84%K -41.07%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 17:39
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -10.51%E -8.98%K -61.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 17:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.25%EV -5.15%E -4.16%K -21.48%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.85%EV -9.65%E -1.00%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.90%EV -4.12%E -0.606%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 17:34
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.65%EV -2.86%E -2.25%K -10.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.11%EV -10.59%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.83%E -0.715%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 17:50
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.59%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 17:44
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -5.15%E -4.16%K -21.48%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -10.59%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -7.45%E -6.16%K -35.47%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -10.59%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 17:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -7.45%E -6.16%K -35.47%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -10.59%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -7.45%E -6.16%K -35.47%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -10.59%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -7.45%E -6.16%K -35.47%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -10.59%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -8.21%E -6.84%K -41.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -10.59%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -18.22%E -3.14%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 17:55
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -10.51%E -8.98%K -61.81%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -10.59%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-19 17:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.21%EV -10.51%E -8.98%K -61.81%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.64%EV -12.94%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.15%EV -11.17%E -1.77%K -2.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -15.29%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:44
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.88%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -15.29%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.98%EV -13.99%E -2.29%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 17:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.76%EV -9.74%E -8.26%K -54.13%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.05%EV -16.24%E -1.82%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.19%EV -11.17%E -1.77%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 17:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.55%EV -9.74%E -8.26%K -54.13%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.19%EV -17.65%E -2.02%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.18%EV -8.21%E -6.84%K -41.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -20.00%E -2.35%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -1.30%E -0.186%K -0.217%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 17:35
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -20.00%E -2.35%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 17:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.47%EV -8.98%E -7.55%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -24.71%E -3.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -4.83%E -0.715%K -0.839%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 17:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.05%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-09-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.05%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-09-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.05%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-09-19 17:55
Matchbook◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.05%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-09-19 17:55
Smarkets◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.88%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.31%1.5%2026-09-19 17:50
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71%2.3%2026-09-19 17:55