Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.27
pressupondo odds máximas de 12.20
pressupondo odds máximas de 7.30
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ajax (Local): 76.49%; Excelsior (Visitante): 9.41%; Empate: 14.10%. Para Excelsior (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 10.63. 13 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 12.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +14.82%.
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.53%EV -5.15%E -4.16%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 12.20I 8.20%NM 7.88%EV +14.82%E +1.22%K +1.32%G +0.196% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.59%EV -7.08%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.15%EV -3.62%E -2.88%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.45%EV +8.24%E +0.716%K +0.784%G +0.065% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV -4.83%E -0.715%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.15%EV -3.62%E -2.88%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.45%EV +8.24%E +0.716%K +0.784%G +0.065% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV -4.83%E -0.715%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.29%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +8.24%E +0.716%K +0.784%G +0.065% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV -4.83%E -0.715%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +8.24%E +0.716%K +0.784%G +0.065% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -1.30%E -0.186%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 17:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +8.24%E +0.716%K +0.784%G +0.065% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -1.30%E -0.186%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 17:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.46%EV -5.15%E -4.16%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.24%EV +8.24%E +0.716%K +0.784%G +0.065% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.29%EV -12.58%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.14%EV -8.98%E -7.55%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +8.24%E +0.716%K +0.784%G +0.065% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.83%E -0.715%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 17:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.19%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 11.27I 8.87%NM 8.32%EV +6.07%E +0.539%K +0.591%G +0.036% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.49%EV -14.70%E -2.43%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.84%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 11.06I 9.04%NM 8.66%EV +4.09%E +0.370%K +0.407%G +0.017% | 7.09I 14.10%NM 13.50%EV -0.033%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 17:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.28%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +3.53%E +0.321%K +0.353%G +0.012% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV -4.83%E -0.715%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 17:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.42%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV +3.53%E +0.321%K +0.353%G +0.012% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -4.83%E -0.715%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 17:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +3.53%E +0.321%K +0.353%G +0.012% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-19 17:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.92%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -1.18%E -0.112%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.02%EV +2.93%E +0.401%K +0.465%G +0.014% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.92%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -1.18%E -0.112%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.02%EV +2.93%E +0.401%K +0.465%G +0.014% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 17:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.92%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -1.18%E -0.112%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.02%EV +2.93%E +0.401%K +0.465%G +0.014% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 17:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.92%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -1.18%E -0.112%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.02%EV +2.93%E +0.401%K +0.465%G +0.014% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 17:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.40%EV -5.15%E -4.16%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV -1.18%E -0.112%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.21%E -6.84%K -41.07%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -1.18%E -0.112%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -1.30%E -0.186%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -9.74%E -8.26%K -54.13%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -1.18%E -0.112%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -1.30%E -0.186%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 17:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.06%EV -5.15%E -4.16%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 17:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -1.30%E -0.186%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.76%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -4.83%E -0.715%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 17:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-19 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.83%EV -7.45%E -6.16%K -35.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.88%EV -5.53%E -0.826%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 17:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.49%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.22%EV -13.99%E -2.29%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-19 17:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -8.21%E -6.84%K -41.07%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-19 17:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -8.21%E -6.84%K -41.07%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-19 17:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -10.51%E -8.98%K -61.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -5.88%E -0.588%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-19 17:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.25%EV -5.15%E -4.16%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.85%EV -9.65%E -1.00%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.90%EV -4.12%E -0.606%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 17:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.65%EV -2.86%E -2.25%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.11%EV -10.59%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.83%E -0.715%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.59%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 17:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -5.15%E -4.16%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -10.59%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -7.45%E -6.16%K -35.47%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -10.59%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 17:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -7.45%E -6.16%K -35.47%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -10.59%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -7.45%E -6.16%K -35.47%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -10.59%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -7.45%E -6.16%K -35.47%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -10.59%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -8.21%E -6.84%K -41.07%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -10.59%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -18.22%E -3.14%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -10.51%E -8.98%K -61.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -10.59%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.21%EV -10.51%E -8.98%K -61.81%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.64%EV -12.94%E -1.40%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.15%EV -11.17%E -1.77%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -15.29%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 17:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.88%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -15.29%E -1.70%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.98%EV -13.99%E -2.29%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-19 17:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.76%EV -9.74%E -8.26%K -54.13%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.05%EV -16.24%E -1.82%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.19%EV -11.17%E -1.77%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-19 17:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.55%EV -9.74%E -8.26%K -54.13%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.19%EV -17.65%E -2.02%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-19 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.18%EV -8.21%E -6.84%K -41.07%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -20.00%E -2.35%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -1.30%E -0.186%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-19 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -20.00%E -2.35%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-19 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.47%EV -8.98%E -7.55%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -24.71%E -3.09%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -4.83%E -0.715%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-19 17:35 |
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.05% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.05% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.05% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.05% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.88% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.31% | 1.5% | 2026-09-19 17:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71% | 2.3% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |