Lingua:Italiano
Ajax v Excelsior
Testa a testa
Ajax (Casa)
Previsione 69.72%1.43quota equa
EV -4.48%
Vantaggio -3.27%
Kelly -12.10%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.37
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.66%69.72%69.81%71.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.271.311.331.3778.74%76.08%75.47%72.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Excelsior (Trasferta)
Previsione 12.56%7.96quota equa
EV +0.455%
Vantaggio +0.057%
Kelly +0.065%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 8.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.74%12.58%12.48%14.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.007.137.208.0016.67%14.02%13.89%12.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 17.72%5.64quota equa
EV +0.995%
Vantaggio +0.175%
Kelly +0.212%
Crescita +0.002%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.36%17.69%17.71%19.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.655.105.005.7021.51%19.62%20.00%17.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Ajax (Casa): 69.72%; Excelsior (Trasferta): 12.56%; Pareggio: 17.72%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 5.64. 2 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 5.70, con un valore atteso positivo del +0.995%.
Quote dei bookmaker (18 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.49%EV -8.66%E -6.61%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.08%EV -2.68%E -0.346%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV +0.995%E +0.175%K +0.212%G +0.002% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.20%EV -8.66%E -6.61%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -5.82%E -0.777%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.36%EV +0.995%E +0.175%K +0.212%G +0.002% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 19:28 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.17%EV -7.96%E -6.03%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV +0.455%E +0.057%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -2.55%E -0.463%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 19:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -5.82%E -0.777%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.55%E -0.463%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.19%EV -4.48%E -3.27%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.17%EV -0.801%E -0.101%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.64%EV -3.43%E -0.630%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.01%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.25%EV -4.57%E -0.601%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.98%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -5.82%E -0.777%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.98%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 18:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.52%EV -7.08%E -0.957%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -7.86%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.06%E -7.79%K -34.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.82%E -0.777%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-06 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.46%EV -10.75%E -8.40%K -38.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.02%EV -21.52%E -3.44%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.52%EV -11.41%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-06 18:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.84%EV -5.87%E -4.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -12.10%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -14.95%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 19:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -12.10%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -14.95%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -12.10%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -14.95%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -7.27%E -5.46%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -12.10%E -1.73%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -14.95%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.67%EV -10.75%E -8.40%K -38.40%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.02%EV -15.24%E -2.26%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.31%EV -14.95%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-06 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 67.74%EV -11.45%E -9.02%K -42.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.34%EV -24.66%E -4.11%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.92%EV -14.95%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-09-06 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.66%EV -10.06%E -7.79%K -34.67%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.97%EV -21.52%E -3.44%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.38%EV -15.84%E -3.33%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-06 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 67.93%EV -10.75%E -8.40%K -38.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.38%EV -18.38%E -2.83%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.70%EV -17.61%E -3.79%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-06 18:05 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.