赔率学院

Toluca v Guadalajara

开赛时间: 2026-02-28 23:06 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Toluca (主队)

预测 45.25%2.21公平赔率
EV -1.81%
优势 -0.835%
Kelly -1.55%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.17

博彩公司预测分布
43.49%45.18%45.39%46.40%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.882.052.052.1753.19%48.77%48.78%46.08%MIN均值中位数MAX

Guadalajara (客队)

预测 26.76%3.74公平赔率
EV +0.090%
优势 +0.024%
Kelly +0.033%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.74

博彩公司预测分布
25.66%26.75%26.72%27.52%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.103.453.453.7432.26%29.02%28.99%26.74%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 27.99%3.57公平赔率
EV -3.43%
优势 -0.995%
Kelly -1.40%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.45

博彩公司预测分布
27.04%28.07%27.89%30.31%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.883.183.203.4534.72%31.41%31.25%28.99%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.36%EV -6.34%E -3.06%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.66%EV +0.090%E +0.024%K +0.033%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.98%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 22:59
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -0.445%E -0.120%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 23:00
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -0.445%E -0.120%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 23:00
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13%EV -0.980%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.27%EV -4.27%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 22:59
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.79%EV -1.81%E -0.835%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:03
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 43.79%EV -1.81%E -0.835%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:03
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -8.60%E -4.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 23:04
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 45.15%EV -5.43%E -2.60%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.51%EV -4.73%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.34%EV -6.79%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 22:59
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:03
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.01%EV -6.79%E -3.30%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -5.26%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -9.87%E -3.07%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 22:59
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 23:03
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 23:02
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 22:57
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 22:58
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -14.63%E -4.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 23:03
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 23:03
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 23:03
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:04
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:05
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 22:59
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.79%EV -6.79%E -3.30%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 23:03
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 23:04
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:04
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 23:04
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 23:04
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -10.41%E -5.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 23:04
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 43.49%EV -8.60%E -4.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -18.83%E -6.49%K -9.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-28 23:03
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 23:03
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 22:59
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 23:03
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 22:59
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 22:59
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.27%EV -14.03%E -7.38%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.06%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.67%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-28 22:58
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 23:03
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 23:03
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 23:03
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -11.77%E -6.03%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-28 23:04
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.78%EV -14.93%E -7.94%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.90%EV -14.36%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.32%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-28 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -13.58%E -7.11%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -17.04%E -5.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -19.39%E -6.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-28 23:03
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38%1.5%2026-02-28 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%1.5%2026-02-28 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-02-28 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.82%2.7%2026-02-28 23:05
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%4.8%2026-02-28 23:02