Школа коэффициентов

Toluca v Guadalajara

Начало: 2026-02-28 23:06 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

46 букмекерских контор (13 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Toluca (Хозяева)

Прогноз 45.25%2.21справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.81%
Преимущество -0.835%
Kelly -1.55%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.17

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
43.49%45.18%45.39%46.40%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.882.052.052.1753.19%48.77%48.78%46.08%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Guadalajara (Гости)

Прогноз 26.76%3.74справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.090%
Преимущество +0.024%
Kelly +0.033%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.74

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.66%26.75%26.72%27.52%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.453.453.7432.26%29.02%28.99%26.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 27.99%3.57справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.43%
Преимущество -0.995%
Kelly -1.40%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.45

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.04%28.07%27.89%30.31%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.183.203.4534.72%31.41%31.25%28.99%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.36%EV -6.34%E -3.06%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.66%EV +0.090%E +0.024%K +0.033%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.98%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 22:59
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -0.445%E -0.120%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 23:00
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -0.445%E -0.120%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 23:00
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13%EV -0.980%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.27%EV -4.27%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 22:59
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.79%EV -1.81%E -0.835%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:03
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 43.79%EV -1.81%E -0.835%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:03
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -8.60%E -4.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 23:04
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 45.15%EV -5.43%E -2.60%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.51%EV -4.73%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.34%EV -6.79%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 22:59
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:03
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.01%EV -6.79%E -3.30%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -5.26%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -9.87%E -3.07%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 22:59
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 23:03
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 23:02
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 22:57
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 22:58
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -14.63%E -4.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 23:03
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 23:03
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 23:03
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:04
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:05
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 22:59
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.79%EV -6.79%E -3.30%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 23:03
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 23:04
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:04
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 23:04
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 23:04
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -10.41%E -5.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 23:04
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 43.49%EV -8.60%E -4.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -18.83%E -6.49%K -9.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-28 23:03
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 23:03
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 22:59
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 23:03
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 22:59
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 22:59
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.27%EV -14.03%E -7.38%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.06%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.67%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-28 22:58
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 23:03
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 23:03
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 23:03
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -11.77%E -6.03%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-28 23:04
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.78%EV -14.93%E -7.94%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.90%EV -14.36%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.32%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-28 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -13.58%E -7.11%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -17.04%E -5.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -19.39%E -6.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-28 23:03
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38%1.5%2026-02-28 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%1.5%2026-02-28 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-02-28 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.82%2.7%2026-02-28 23:05
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%4.8%2026-02-28 23:02