Oddsskolan

Toluca v Guadalajara

Matchstart: 2026-02-28 23:06 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

46 spelbolag (13 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Toluca (Hemma)

Prognos 45.25%2.21rättvist odds
EV -1.81%
Fördel -0.835%
Kelly -1.55%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.17

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
43.49%45.18%45.39%46.40%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.882.052.052.1753.19%48.77%48.78%46.08%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Guadalajara (Borta)

Prognos 26.76%3.74rättvist odds
EV +0.090%
Fördel +0.024%
Kelly +0.033%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.74

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.66%26.75%26.72%27.52%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.103.453.453.7432.26%29.02%28.99%26.74%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.99%3.57rättvist odds
EV -3.43%
Fördel -0.995%
Kelly -1.40%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.04%28.07%27.89%30.31%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.883.183.203.4534.72%31.41%31.25%28.99%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (46 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.36%EV -6.34%E -3.06%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.66%EV +0.090%E +0.024%K +0.033%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.98%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 22:59
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -0.445%E -0.120%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 23:00
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -0.445%E -0.120%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 23:00
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13%EV -0.980%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.27%EV -4.27%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 22:59
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.79%EV -1.81%E -0.835%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:03
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 43.79%EV -1.81%E -0.835%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:03
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -8.60%E -4.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 23:04
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 45.15%EV -5.43%E -2.60%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.51%EV -4.73%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.34%EV -6.79%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 22:59
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:03
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.01%EV -6.79%E -3.30%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -5.26%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -9.87%E -3.07%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 22:59
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 23:03
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 23:02
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 22:57
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 22:58
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -14.63%E -4.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 23:03
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 23:03
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 23:03
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:04
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:05
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 22:59
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.79%EV -6.79%E -3.30%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 23:03
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 23:04
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:04
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 23:04
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 23:04
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -10.41%E -5.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 23:04
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 43.49%EV -8.60%E -4.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -18.83%E -6.49%K -9.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-28 23:03
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 23:03
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 22:59
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 23:03
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 22:59
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 22:59
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.27%EV -14.03%E -7.38%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.06%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.67%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-28 22:58
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 23:03
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 23:03
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 23:03
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -11.77%E -6.03%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-28 23:04
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.78%EV -14.93%E -7.94%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.90%EV -14.36%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.32%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-28 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -13.58%E -7.11%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -17.04%E -5.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -19.39%E -6.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-28 23:03
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38%1.5%2026-02-28 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%1.5%2026-02-28 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-02-28 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.82%2.7%2026-02-28 23:05
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%4.8%2026-02-28 23:02