Die Schule der Quoten

Toluca v Guadalajara

Spielbeginn: 2026-02-28 23:06 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (13 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Toluca (Heim)

Prognose 45.25%2.21faire Quote
EV -1.81%
Vorteil -0.835%
Kelly -1.55%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.17

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
43.49%45.18%45.39%46.40%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.882.052.052.1753.19%48.77%48.78%46.08%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Guadalajara (Auswärts)

Prognose 26.76%3.74faire Quote
EV +0.090%
Vorteil +0.024%
Kelly +0.033%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.74

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.66%26.75%26.72%27.52%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.103.453.453.7432.26%29.02%28.99%26.74%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.99%3.57faire Quote
EV -3.43%
Vorteil -0.995%
Kelly -1.40%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.04%28.07%27.89%30.31%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.883.183.203.4534.72%31.41%31.25%28.99%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.36%EV -6.34%E -3.06%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.66%EV +0.090%E +0.024%K +0.033%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.98%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 22:59
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -0.445%E -0.120%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 23:00
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -0.445%E -0.120%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 23:00
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13%EV -0.980%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.27%EV -4.27%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 22:59
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.79%EV -1.81%E -0.835%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:03
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 43.79%EV -1.81%E -0.835%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:03
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -8.60%E -4.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 23:04
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 45.15%EV -5.43%E -2.60%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.51%EV -4.73%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.34%EV -6.79%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 22:59
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:03
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.01%EV -6.79%E -3.30%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -5.26%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -9.87%E -3.07%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 22:59
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 23:03
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 23:02
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 22:57
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 22:58
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -14.63%E -4.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 23:03
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 23:03
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 23:03
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:04
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:05
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 22:59
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.79%EV -6.79%E -3.30%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 23:03
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 23:04
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:04
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 23:04
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 23:04
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -10.41%E -5.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 23:04
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 43.49%EV -8.60%E -4.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -18.83%E -6.49%K -9.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-28 23:03
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 23:03
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 22:59
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 23:03
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 22:59
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 22:59
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.27%EV -14.03%E -7.38%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.06%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.67%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-28 22:58
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 23:03
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 23:03
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 23:03
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -11.77%E -6.03%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-28 23:04
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.78%EV -14.93%E -7.94%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.90%EV -14.36%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.32%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-28 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -13.58%E -7.11%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -17.04%E -5.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -19.39%E -6.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-28 23:03
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38%1.5%2026-02-28 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%1.5%2026-02-28 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-02-28 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.82%2.7%2026-02-28 23:05
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%4.8%2026-02-28 23:02