Szkoła Kursów

Toluca v Guadalajara

Początek: 2026-02-28 23:06 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

46 bukmacherów (13 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Toluca (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 45.25%2.21kurs godziwy
EV -1.81%
Przewaga -0.835%
Kelly -1.55%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.17

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
43.49%45.18%45.39%46.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.882.052.052.1753.19%48.77%48.78%46.08%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Guadalajara (Goście)

Prognoza 26.76%3.74kurs godziwy
EV +0.090%
Przewaga +0.024%
Kelly +0.033%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.74

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.66%26.75%26.72%27.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.453.453.7432.26%29.02%28.99%26.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.99%3.57kurs godziwy
EV -3.43%
Przewaga -0.995%
Kelly -1.40%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.45

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.04%28.07%27.89%30.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.183.203.4534.72%31.41%31.25%28.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (46 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.36%EV -6.34%E -3.06%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.66%EV +0.090%E +0.024%K +0.033%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.98%EV -3.99%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 22:59
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -0.445%E -0.120%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 23:00
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -0.445%E -0.120%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 23:00
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13%EV -0.980%E -0.265%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.27%EV -4.27%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 22:59
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.79%EV -1.81%E -0.835%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:03
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 43.79%EV -1.81%E -0.835%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -2.32%E -0.635%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:03
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -8.60%E -4.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 23:04
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 45.15%EV -5.43%E -2.60%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.51%EV -4.73%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.34%EV -6.79%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 22:59
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:03
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 23:04
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.01%EV -6.79%E -3.30%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -5.26%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -9.87%E -3.07%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 22:59
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 23:03
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 23:02
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 22:57
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 22:58
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -14.63%E -4.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 23:03
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 23:03
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 23:03
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:04
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:05
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 22:59
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.79%EV -6.79%E -3.30%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 23:03
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 23:04
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:04
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 23:04
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 23:04
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -10.41%E -5.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 23:04
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 43.49%EV -8.60%E -4.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -10.35%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -18.83%E -6.49%K -9.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-28 23:03
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 23:03
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 22:59
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 23:03
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 22:59
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 22:59
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.27%EV -14.03%E -7.38%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.06%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.67%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-28 22:58
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 23:03
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 23:03
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 23:03
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -11.77%E -6.03%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-28 23:04
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.78%EV -14.93%E -7.94%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.90%EV -14.36%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.32%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-28 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -13.58%E -7.11%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -17.04%E -5.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -19.39%E -6.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-28 23:03
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38%1.5%2026-02-28 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%1.5%2026-02-28 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-02-28 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.82%2.7%2026-02-28 23:05
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%4.8%2026-02-28 23:02