Language:English
Pumas v León
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pumas (Local)
Prediction 44.41%2.25fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -3.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.03%44.64%44.37%46.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.032.052.1654.64%49.34%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
León (Visit)
Prediction 29.28%3.42fair odd
EV +2.46%
Edge +0.704%
Kelly +0.986%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.77%29.07%29.32%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.973.203.203.5033.67%31.29%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.31%3.80fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.355%
Kelly -0.484%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.24%26.28%26.30%27.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.483.503.7531.25%28.77%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pumas (Local): 44.41%; León (Visit): 29.28%; Draw: 26.31%. For León (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.46%E +0.704%K +0.986%G +0.024% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 05:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.46%E +0.704%K +0.986%G +0.024% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 05:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 04:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -12.51%E -6.35%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 05:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -12.51%E -6.35%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.46%EV -14.28%E -7.40%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09%EV -4.07%E -1.88%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.60%EV -5.80%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 05:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -15.17%E -7.94%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -15.17%E -7.94%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -15.17%E -7.94%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -1.33%E -0.355%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 07:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -1.33%E -0.355%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.65%E -0.715%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.65%E -0.715%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.38%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -5.80%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 05:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 13:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.64%EV -18.72%E -10.23%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.10%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.26%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.57%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.53%EV -8.07%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -5.80%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -8.66%E -2.78%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -8.66%E -2.78%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:36 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.98%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 07:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -10.29%E -5.09%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.99%EV -9.83%E -3.19%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.81%EV -12.38%E -3.72%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 13:33 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 05:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.99%EV -11.62%E -5.84%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.48%EV -13.05%E -4.39%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 14:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.32% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.45% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 40.84% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 34.14% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 25.02% | 20.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |