StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Pumas v León

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-11 03:05 UTC

Endstand: Pumas 3–1 León

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Pumas (Heim)

Prognose 44.41%2.25faire Quote
EV -4.07%
Vorteil -1.88%
Kelly -3.51%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.16

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
43.03%44.64%44.37%46.84%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.832.032.052.1654.64%49.34%48.78%46.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

León (Auswärts)

Prognose 29.28%3.42faire Quote
EV +2.46%
Vorteil +0.704%
Kelly +0.986%
Wachstum +0.024%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.77%29.07%29.32%30.12%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.973.203.203.5033.67%31.29%31.25%28.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.31%3.80faire Quote
EV -1.33%
Vorteil -0.355%
Kelly -0.484%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.24%26.28%26.30%27.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.203.483.503.7531.25%28.77%28.57%26.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Pumas (Heim): 44.41%; León (Auswärts): 29.28%; Unentschieden: 26.31%. Für León (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.42. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.46%.

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.46%E +0.704%K +0.986%G +0.024%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 05:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.46%E +0.704%K +0.986%G +0.024%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 05:59
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 04:20
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -12.51%E -6.35%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 08:54
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 08:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 08:54
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 08:54
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 08:54
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 08:54
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 05:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -12.51%E -6.35%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 14:45
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.46%EV -14.28%E -7.40%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 08:54
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09%EV -4.07%E -1.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.60%EV -5.80%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 05:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -15.17%E -7.94%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -15.17%E -7.94%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 08:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -15.17%E -7.94%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 08:54
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -1.33%E -0.355%K -0.484%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 07:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -1.33%E -0.355%K -0.484%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 06:59
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.65%E -0.715%K -0.980%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 06:59
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 06:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 13:35
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 16:51
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.65%E -0.715%K -0.980%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 06:59
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.38%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -5.80%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:45
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 05:04
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 16:05
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 13:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.64%EV -18.72%E -10.23%K -22.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.10%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.26%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%17.2%2026-09-09 08:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.57%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.53%EV -8.07%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -5.80%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 16:45
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -8.66%E -2.78%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 17:30
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -8.66%E -2.78%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 17:36
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 10:45
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 06:59
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.98%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 13:35
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 07:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -10.29%E -5.09%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.99%EV -9.83%E -3.19%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.81%EV -12.38%E -3.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-09 13:33
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 06:59
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 06:59
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 13:35
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 05:10
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-09 09:04
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-09 09:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-09 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-09 09:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 43.99%EV -11.62%E -5.84%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.48%EV -13.05%E -4.39%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-09 14:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%2.8%2026-09-09 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-09-09 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-09-09 14:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-09-09 14:50
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 44.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%4.5%2026-09-09 14:55
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 40.84%2.44I 40.98%NM 34.14%3.33I 30.03%NM 25.02%20.0%2026-09-04 14:35