语言:简体中文
Pumas v León
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Pumas (主队)
预测 44.41%2.25公平赔率
EV -4.07%
优势 -1.88%
Kelly -3.51%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.16
博彩公司预测分布
43.03%44.64%44.37%46.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.832.032.052.1654.64%49.34%48.78%46.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
León (客队)
预测 29.28%3.42公平赔率
EV +2.46%
优势 +0.704%
Kelly +0.986%
增长率 +0.024%
假设最高赔率为 3.50
博彩公司预测分布
26.77%29.07%29.32%30.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.973.203.203.5033.67%31.29%31.25%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.31%3.80公平赔率
EV -1.33%
优势 -0.355%
Kelly -0.484%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.75
博彩公司预测分布
25.24%26.28%26.30%27.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.483.503.7531.25%28.77%28.57%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Pumas (主队)：44.41%；León (客队)：29.28%；平局：26.31%。 对于“León (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.42。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.50，对应+2.46%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.46%E +0.704%K +0.986%G +0.024% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 05:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.46%E +0.704%K +0.986%G +0.024% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 05:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 04:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -12.51%E -6.35%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 05:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -12.51%E -6.35%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.46%EV -14.28%E -7.40%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09%EV -4.07%E -1.88%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.60%EV -5.80%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 05:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -15.17%E -7.94%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -15.17%E -7.94%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -15.17%E -7.94%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -1.33%E -0.355%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 07:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -1.33%E -0.355%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.65%E -0.715%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.65%E -0.715%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.38%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -5.80%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 05:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 13:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.64%EV -18.72%E -10.23%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.10%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.26%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.57%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.53%EV -8.07%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -5.80%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -8.66%E -2.78%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -8.66%E -2.78%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:36 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.98%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 07:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -10.29%E -5.09%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.99%EV -9.83%E -3.19%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.81%EV -12.38%E -3.72%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 13:33 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 05:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.99%EV -11.62%E -5.84%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.48%EV -13.05%E -4.39%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 14:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.32% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.45% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 40.84% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 34.14% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 25.02% | 20.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |