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Pumas v León
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pumas (Local)
Predicción 44.41%2.25momio equitativo
EV -4.07%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -3.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.03%44.64%44.37%46.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.832.032.052.1654.64%49.34%48.78%46.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
León (Visitante)
Predicción 29.28%3.42momio equitativo
EV +2.46%
Ventaja +0.704%
Kelly +0.986%
Crecimiento +0.024%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.77%29.07%29.32%30.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.973.203.203.5033.67%31.29%31.25%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.31%3.80momio equitativo
EV -1.33%
Ventaja -0.355%
Kelly -0.484%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.24%26.28%26.30%27.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.483.503.7531.25%28.77%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Pumas (Local): 44.41%; León (Visitante): 29.28%; Empate: 26.31%. Para León (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.42. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.46%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.46%E +0.704%K +0.986%G +0.024% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 05:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.46%E +0.704%K +0.986%G +0.024% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 05:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 04:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -12.51%E -6.35%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 05:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -12.51%E -6.35%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.46%EV -14.28%E -7.40%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09%EV -4.07%E -1.88%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.60%EV -5.80%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 05:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -15.17%E -7.94%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -15.17%E -7.94%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -15.17%E -7.94%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -1.33%E -0.355%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 07:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -1.33%E -0.355%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.65%E -0.715%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.65%E -0.715%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.38%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -5.80%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 05:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 13:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.64%EV -18.72%E -10.23%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.10%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.26%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.57%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.53%EV -8.07%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -5.80%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -8.66%E -2.78%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -8.66%E -2.78%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:36 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.98%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 07:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -10.29%E -5.09%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.99%EV -9.83%E -3.19%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.81%EV -12.38%E -3.72%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 13:33 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 05:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.99%EV -11.62%E -5.84%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.48%EV -13.05%E -4.39%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.60% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 14:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.32% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.45% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 40.84% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 34.14% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 25.02% | 20.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |