Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pumas v León

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-11 03:05 UTC

Score final : Pumas 3–1 León

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pumas (Local)

Prévision 44.41%2.25cote équitable
EV -4.07%
Avantage -1.88%
Kelly -3.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.03%44.64%44.37%46.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.832.032.052.1654.64%49.34%48.78%46.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

León (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.28%3.42cote équitable
EV +2.46%
Avantage +0.704%
Kelly +0.986%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.77%29.07%29.32%30.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.973.203.203.5033.67%31.29%31.25%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.31%3.80cote équitable
EV -1.33%
Avantage -0.355%
Kelly -0.484%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.24%26.28%26.30%27.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.483.503.7531.25%28.77%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Pumas (Local) : 44.41% ; León (Visiteur) : 29.28% ; Match nul : 26.31%. Pour León (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.42. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.50, soit une espérance positive de +2.46%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.46%E +0.704%K +0.986%G +0.024%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 05:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.46%E +0.704%K +0.986%G +0.024%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 05:59
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 04:20
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -12.51%E -6.35%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 08:54
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 08:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 08:54
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 08:54
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 08:54
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 08:54
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 05:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -12.51%E -6.35%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 14:45
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.46%EV -14.28%E -7.40%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 08:54
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09%EV -4.07%E -1.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.60%EV -5.80%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 05:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -15.17%E -7.94%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -15.17%E -7.94%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 08:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -15.17%E -7.94%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 08:54
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -1.33%E -0.355%K -0.484%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 07:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -1.33%E -0.355%K -0.484%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 06:59
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.65%E -0.715%K -0.980%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 06:59
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 06:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 13:35
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 16:51
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.65%E -0.715%K -0.980%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 06:59
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.38%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -5.80%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:45
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 05:04
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 16:05
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 13:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.64%EV -18.72%E -10.23%K -22.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.10%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.26%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%17.2%2026-09-09 08:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.57%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.53%EV -8.07%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -5.80%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 16:45
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -8.66%E -2.78%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 17:30
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -8.66%E -2.78%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 17:36
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 10:45
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 06:59
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.98%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 13:35
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 07:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -10.29%E -5.09%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.99%EV -9.83%E -3.19%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.81%EV -12.38%E -3.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-09 13:33
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 06:59
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 06:59
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 13:35
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 05:10
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-09 09:04
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-09 09:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-09 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-09 09:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 43.99%EV -11.62%E -5.84%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.48%EV -13.05%E -4.39%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-09 14:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%2.8%2026-09-09 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-09-09 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-09-09 14:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-09-09 14:50
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 44.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%4.5%2026-09-09 14:55
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 40.84%2.44I 40.98%NM 34.14%3.33I 30.03%NM 25.02%20.0%2026-09-04 14:35