StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Pumas v León

Matchstart: 2026-09-11 03:05 UTC

Slutresultat: Pumas 3–1 León

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Pumas (Hemma)

Prognos 44.41%2.25rättvist odds
EV -4.07%
Fördel -1.88%
Kelly -3.51%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.16

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
43.03%44.64%44.37%46.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.832.032.052.1654.64%49.34%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

León (Borta)

Prognos 29.28%3.42rättvist odds
EV +2.46%
Fördel +0.704%
Kelly +0.986%
Tillväxt +0.024%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.77%29.07%29.32%30.12%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.973.203.203.5033.67%31.29%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.31%3.80rättvist odds
EV -1.33%
Fördel -0.355%
Kelly -0.484%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.24%26.28%26.30%27.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.483.503.7531.25%28.77%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Pumas (Hemma): 44.41%; León (Borta): 29.28%; Oavgjort: 26.31%. För León (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.42. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.46%.

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.46%E +0.704%K +0.986%G +0.024%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 05:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV +2.46%E +0.704%K +0.986%G +0.024%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 05:59
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 04:20
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -12.51%E -6.35%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 08:54
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 08:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 08:54
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 08:54
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 08:54
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -12.95%E -6.61%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -0.463%E -0.136%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 08:54
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 05:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -12.51%E -6.35%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 14:45
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.46%EV -14.28%E -7.40%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 08:54
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09%EV -4.07%E -1.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.60%EV -5.80%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 05:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -15.17%E -7.94%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -15.17%E -7.94%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 08:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.34%EV -15.17%E -7.94%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 08:54
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -1.33%E -0.355%K -0.484%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 07:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -1.33%E -0.355%K -0.484%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 06:59
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.65%E -0.715%K -0.980%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 06:59
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 06:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 13:35
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 16:51
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.32%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.65%E -0.715%K -0.980%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 06:59
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.38%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -5.80%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:45
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 05:04
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 16:05
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 13:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.64%EV -18.72%E -10.23%K -22.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.10%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.26%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%17.2%2026-09-09 08:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.57%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.53%EV -8.07%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -5.80%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 16:45
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -8.66%E -2.78%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 17:30
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -8.66%E -2.78%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 17:36
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 10:45
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 06:59
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.98%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 13:35
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.25%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 07:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -10.29%E -5.09%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.99%EV -9.83%E -3.19%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.81%EV -12.38%E -3.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-09 13:33
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 06:59
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 06:59
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 13:35
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 05:10
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-09 09:04
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-09 09:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-09 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-09 09:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 43.99%EV -11.62%E -5.84%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.48%EV -13.05%E -4.39%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-09 14:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%2.8%2026-09-09 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-09-09 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-09-09 14:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-09-09 14:50
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 44.32%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%4.5%2026-09-09 14:55
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 40.84%2.44I 40.98%NM 34.14%3.33I 30.03%NM 25.02%20.0%2026-09-04 14:35