預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Puebla v Toluca

開賽時間: 2026-09-16 01:00 UTC

最終賽果: Puebla 0–1 Toluca

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

47 家博彩公司 (17 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Puebla (主隊)

預測 16.61%6.02公平賠率
EV +10.49%
優勢 +1.58%
Kelly +1.86%
成長率 +0.195%

假設最高賠率為 6.65

博彩公司預測分布
14.54%16.50%16.46%18.30%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.905.475.506.6520.41%18.27%18.18%15.04%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Toluca (客隊)

預測 62.72%1.59公平賠率
EV -2.16%
優勢 -1.38%
Kelly -3.86%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.56

博彩公司預測分布
59.00%62.65%62.86%65.32%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.401.491.481.5671.43%67.24%67.57%64.10%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 20.67%4.84公平賠率
EV -0.796%
優勢 -0.166%
Kelly -0.210%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.80

博彩公司預測分布
19.86%20.85%20.68%22.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.904.304.304.8025.64%23.25%23.26%20.83%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Puebla (主隊):16.61%;Toluca (客隊):62.72%;和局:20.67%。 對於「Puebla (主隊)」,該估計相當於6.02的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為6.65,對應+10.49%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (47 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
BetOnline.ag🎯6.65I 15.04%NM 14.54%EV +10.49%E +1.58%K +1.86%G +0.195%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.32%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV -0.796%E -0.166%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-16 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯6.65I 15.04%NM 14.54%EV +10.49%E +1.58%K +1.86%G +0.195%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.32%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV -0.796%E -0.166%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-16 00:40
Tipico (DE)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV +3.01%E +0.486%K +0.579%G +0.017%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -10.94%E -7.70%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 00:41
SportsBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -0.310%E -0.052%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 00:40
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.310%E -0.052%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 00:40
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.310%E -0.052%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 00:55
Pinnacle🎯5.94I 16.84%NM 16.22%EV -1.31%E -0.220%K -0.265%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.40%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.37%EV -2.24%E -0.474%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-16 00:55
GTbets🎯5.91I 16.92%NM 15.93%EV -1.81%E -0.306%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.77%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.30%EV -8.65%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 00:40
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV -1.97%E -0.334%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.37%EV -14.23%E -3.43%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 00:55
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -1.97%E -0.334%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -14.23%E -3.43%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 00:36
1xBet🎯5.87I 17.04%NM 16.35%EV -2.47%E -0.421%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.74%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-16 00:49
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -1.83%E -0.385%K -0.488%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 00:36
DraftKings🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-16 00:55
betano_uk🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 00:54
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-16 00:55
Bet Right🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-16 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -6.96%E -1.24%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.63%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 00:50
BetUS🎯5.58I 17.92%NM 16.96%EV -7.29%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.68%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.35%EV -3.90%E -0.838%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 00:45
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 00:50
Fliff🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-16 00:45
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 00:40
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-16 00:36
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.20%E -8.71%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.20%E -8.71%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 00:50
Coolbet🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.47%EV -9.45%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.83%EV -3.41%E -2.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -12.77%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -2.16%E -1.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 00:41
ATG (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -12.77%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -2.16%E -1.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 00:45
LeoVegas🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -12.77%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 00:55
Unibet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 00:41
Grosvenor🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 00:41
Casumo🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 00:45
BetRivers🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 00:45
betPARX🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 00:40
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-16 00:35
Betclic (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.54%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.33%EV -10.31%E -7.21%K -23.99%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -14.23%E -3.43%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-16 00:54
NetBet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.51%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 61.65%EV -10.94%E -7.70%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.84%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-16 00:55
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-15 22:50
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-15 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-15 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-15 22:50
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.00%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -18.36%E -4.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.00%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -18.36%E -4.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 00:45
TABtouch🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.23%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.16%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -18.36%E -4.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-16 00:46
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -19.40%E -4.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 00:41
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-09-16 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-09-16 00:55
Matchbook◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-09-16 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.56%1.3%2026-09-16 00:55
Kalshi◎6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-09-16 00:41
Smarkets◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.19%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.46%1.8%2026-09-16 00:55