StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Puebla v Toluca

Matchstart: 2026-09-16 01:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Puebla 0–1 Toluca

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Puebla (Hemma)

Prognos 16.61%6.02rättvist odds
EV +10.49%
Fördel +1.58%
Kelly +1.86%
Tillväxt +0.195%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.54%16.50%16.46%18.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.905.475.506.6520.41%18.27%18.18%15.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Toluca (Borta)

Prognos 62.72%1.59rättvist odds
EV -2.16%
Fördel -1.38%
Kelly -3.86%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.56

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
59.00%62.65%62.86%65.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.401.491.481.5671.43%67.24%67.57%64.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 20.67%4.84rättvist odds
EV -0.796%
Fördel -0.166%
Kelly -0.210%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.86%20.85%20.68%22.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.904.304.304.8025.64%23.25%23.26%20.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Puebla (Hemma): 16.61%; Toluca (Borta): 62.72%; Oavgjort: 20.67%. För Puebla (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.02. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.65, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +10.49%.

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetOnline.ag🎯6.65I 15.04%NM 14.54%EV +10.49%E +1.58%K +1.86%G +0.195%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.32%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV -0.796%E -0.166%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-16 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯6.65I 15.04%NM 14.54%EV +10.49%E +1.58%K +1.86%G +0.195%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.32%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV -0.796%E -0.166%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-16 00:40
Tipico (DE)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV +3.01%E +0.486%K +0.579%G +0.017%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -10.94%E -7.70%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 00:41
SportsBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -0.310%E -0.052%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 00:40
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.310%E -0.052%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 00:40
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.310%E -0.052%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 00:55
Pinnacle🎯5.94I 16.84%NM 16.22%EV -1.31%E -0.220%K -0.265%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.40%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.37%EV -2.24%E -0.474%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-16 00:55
GTbets🎯5.91I 16.92%NM 15.93%EV -1.81%E -0.306%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.77%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.30%EV -8.65%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 00:40
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV -1.97%E -0.334%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.37%EV -14.23%E -3.43%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 00:55
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -1.97%E -0.334%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -14.23%E -3.43%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 00:36
1xBet🎯5.87I 17.04%NM 16.35%EV -2.47%E -0.421%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.74%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-16 00:49
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -1.83%E -0.385%K -0.488%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 00:36
DraftKings🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-16 00:55
betano_uk🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 00:54
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-16 00:55
Bet Right🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-16 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -6.96%E -1.24%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.63%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 00:50
BetUS🎯5.58I 17.92%NM 16.96%EV -7.29%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.68%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.35%EV -3.90%E -0.838%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 00:45
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 00:50
Fliff🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-16 00:45
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 00:40
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-16 00:36
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.20%E -8.71%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.20%E -8.71%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 00:50
Coolbet🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.47%EV -9.45%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.83%EV -3.41%E -2.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -12.77%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -2.16%E -1.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 00:41
ATG (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -12.77%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -2.16%E -1.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 00:45
LeoVegas🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -12.77%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 00:55
Unibet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 00:41
Grosvenor🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 00:41
Casumo🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 00:45
BetRivers🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 00:45
betPARX🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 00:40
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-16 00:35
Betclic (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.54%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.33%EV -10.31%E -7.21%K -23.99%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -14.23%E -3.43%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-16 00:54
NetBet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.51%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 61.65%EV -10.94%E -7.70%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.84%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-16 00:55
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-15 22:50
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-15 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-15 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-15 22:50
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.00%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -18.36%E -4.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.00%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -18.36%E -4.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 00:45
TABtouch🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.23%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.16%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -18.36%E -4.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-16 00:46
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -19.40%E -4.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 00:41
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-09-16 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-09-16 00:55
Matchbook◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-09-16 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.56%1.3%2026-09-16 00:55
Kalshi◎6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-09-16 00:41
Smarkets◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.19%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.46%1.8%2026-09-16 00:55