Język:Polski
Puebla v Toluca
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Puebla (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 16.61%6.02kurs godziwy
EV +10.49%
Przewaga +1.58%
Kelly +1.86%
Wzrost +0.195%
przy maksymalnym kursie 6.65
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
14.54%16.50%16.46%18.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.905.475.506.6520.41%18.27%18.18%15.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Toluca (Goście)
Prognoza 62.72%1.59kurs godziwy
EV -2.16%
Przewaga -1.38%
Kelly -3.86%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.56
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
59.00%62.65%62.86%65.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.401.491.481.5671.43%67.24%67.57%64.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 20.67%4.84kurs godziwy
EV -0.796%
Przewaga -0.166%
Kelly -0.210%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.80
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.86%20.85%20.68%22.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.904.304.304.8025.64%23.25%23.26%20.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Puebla (Gospodarze): 16.61%; Toluca (Goście): 62.72%; Remis: 20.67%. Dla wyniku Puebla (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 6.02. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 6.65, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +10.49%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (47 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.54%EV +10.49%E +1.58%K +1.86%G +0.195% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.32%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV -0.796%E -0.166%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.54%EV +10.49%E +1.58%K +1.86%G +0.195% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.32%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV -0.796%E -0.166%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV +3.01%E +0.486%K +0.579%G +0.017% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -10.94%E -7.70%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 00:41 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -0.310%E -0.052%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.310%E -0.052%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.310%E -0.052%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.94I 16.84%NM 16.22%EV -1.31%E -0.220%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.40%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.37%EV -2.24%E -0.474%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.91I 16.92%NM 15.93%EV -1.81%E -0.306%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.77%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.30%EV -8.65%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV -1.97%E -0.334%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.37%EV -14.23%E -3.43%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -1.97%E -0.334%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -14.23%E -3.43%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 00:36 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.35%EV -2.47%E -0.421%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.74%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-16 00:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -1.83%E -0.385%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 00:36 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 00:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -6.96%E -1.24%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.63%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 00:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.58I 17.92%NM 16.96%EV -7.29%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.68%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.35%EV -3.90%E -0.838%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-16 00:36 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.20%E -8.71%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-16 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.20%E -8.71%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-16 00:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.47%EV -9.45%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.83%EV -3.41%E -2.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -12.77%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -2.16%E -1.38%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 00:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -12.77%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -2.16%E -1.38%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -12.77%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 00:41 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 00:41 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-16 00:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.54%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.33%EV -10.31%E -7.21%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -14.23%E -3.43%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-16 00:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.51%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.65%EV -10.94%E -7.70%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.84%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-15 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-15 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-15 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-15 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.00%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -18.36%E -4.65%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.00%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -18.36%E -4.65%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.23%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.16%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -18.36%E -4.65%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-16 00:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -19.40%E -4.97%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-16 00:41 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.56% | 1.3% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65% | 1.8% | 2026-09-16 00:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.19% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.46% | 1.8% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |