StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Puebla v Toluca

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-16 01:00 UTC

Endstand: Puebla 0–1 Toluca

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Puebla (Heim)

Prognose 16.61%6.02faire Quote
EV +10.49%
Vorteil +1.58%
Kelly +1.86%
Wachstum +0.195%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.65

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.54%16.50%16.46%18.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.905.475.506.6520.41%18.27%18.18%15.04%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Toluca (Auswärts)

Prognose 62.72%1.59faire Quote
EV -2.16%
Vorteil -1.38%
Kelly -3.86%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.56

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
59.00%62.65%62.86%65.32%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.401.491.481.5671.43%67.24%67.57%64.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 20.67%4.84faire Quote
EV -0.796%
Vorteil -0.166%
Kelly -0.210%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.86%20.85%20.68%22.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.904.304.304.8025.64%23.25%23.26%20.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Puebla (Heim): 16.61%; Toluca (Auswärts): 62.72%; Unentschieden: 20.67%. Für Puebla (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.02. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.65 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +10.49%.

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
BetOnline.ag🎯6.65I 15.04%NM 14.54%EV +10.49%E +1.58%K +1.86%G +0.195%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.32%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV -0.796%E -0.166%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-16 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯6.65I 15.04%NM 14.54%EV +10.49%E +1.58%K +1.86%G +0.195%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.32%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV -0.796%E -0.166%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-16 00:40
Tipico (DE)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV +3.01%E +0.486%K +0.579%G +0.017%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -10.94%E -7.70%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 00:41
SportsBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -0.310%E -0.052%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 00:40
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.310%E -0.052%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 00:40
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.310%E -0.052%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 00:55
Pinnacle🎯5.94I 16.84%NM 16.22%EV -1.31%E -0.220%K -0.265%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.40%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.37%EV -2.24%E -0.474%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-16 00:55
GTbets🎯5.91I 16.92%NM 15.93%EV -1.81%E -0.306%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.77%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.30%EV -8.65%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 00:40
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV -1.97%E -0.334%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.37%EV -14.23%E -3.43%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 00:55
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -1.97%E -0.334%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -14.23%E -3.43%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 00:36
1xBet🎯5.87I 17.04%NM 16.35%EV -2.47%E -0.421%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.74%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-16 00:49
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -1.83%E -0.385%K -0.488%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 00:36
DraftKings🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-16 00:55
betano_uk🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 00:54
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-16 00:55
Bet Right🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-16 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -6.96%E -1.24%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.63%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 00:50
BetUS🎯5.58I 17.92%NM 16.96%EV -7.29%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.68%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.35%EV -3.90%E -0.838%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 00:45
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 00:50
Fliff🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-16 00:45
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 00:40
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-16 00:36
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.20%E -8.71%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.20%E -8.71%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 00:50
Coolbet🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.47%EV -9.45%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.83%EV -3.41%E -2.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -12.77%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -2.16%E -1.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 00:41
ATG (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -12.77%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -2.16%E -1.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 00:45
LeoVegas🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -12.77%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 00:55
Unibet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 00:41
Grosvenor🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 00:41
Casumo🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 00:45
BetRivers🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 00:45
betPARX🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 00:40
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-16 00:35
Betclic (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.54%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.33%EV -10.31%E -7.21%K -23.99%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -14.23%E -3.43%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-16 00:54
NetBet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.51%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 61.65%EV -10.94%E -7.70%K -26.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.84%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-16 00:55
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-15 22:50
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-15 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-15 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-15 22:50
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.00%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -18.36%E -4.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.00%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -18.36%E -4.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 00:45
TABtouch🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.23%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.16%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -18.36%E -4.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-16 00:46
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -19.40%E -4.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 00:41
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-09-16 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-09-16 00:55
Matchbook◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-09-16 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.56%1.3%2026-09-16 00:55
Kalshi◎6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-09-16 00:41
Smarkets◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.19%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.46%1.8%2026-09-16 00:55