Lingua:Italiano
Puebla v Toluca
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Puebla (Casa)
Previsione 16.61%6.02quota equa
EV +10.49%
Vantaggio +1.58%
Kelly +1.86%
Crescita +0.195%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.65
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.54%16.50%16.46%18.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.905.475.506.6520.41%18.27%18.18%15.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Toluca (Trasferta)
Previsione 62.72%1.59quota equa
EV -2.16%
Vantaggio -1.38%
Kelly -3.86%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.00%62.65%62.86%65.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.491.481.5671.43%67.24%67.57%64.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 20.67%4.84quota equa
EV -0.796%
Vantaggio -0.166%
Kelly -0.210%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.86%20.85%20.68%22.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.904.304.304.8025.64%23.25%23.26%20.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Puebla (Casa): 16.61%; Toluca (Trasferta): 62.72%; Pareggio: 20.67%. Per Puebla (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.02. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.65, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +10.49%.
Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.54%EV +10.49%E +1.58%K +1.86%G +0.195% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.32%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV -0.796%E -0.166%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.54%EV +10.49%E +1.58%K +1.86%G +0.195% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.32%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV -0.796%E -0.166%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV +3.01%E +0.486%K +0.579%G +0.017% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -10.94%E -7.70%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 00:41 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -0.310%E -0.052%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.310%E -0.052%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.310%E -0.052%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.94I 16.84%NM 16.22%EV -1.31%E -0.220%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.40%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.37%EV -2.24%E -0.474%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.91I 16.92%NM 15.93%EV -1.81%E -0.306%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.77%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.30%EV -8.65%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV -1.97%E -0.334%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.37%EV -14.23%E -3.43%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -1.97%E -0.334%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -14.23%E -3.43%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 00:36 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.35%EV -2.47%E -0.421%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.74%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-16 00:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -1.83%E -0.385%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 00:36 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 00:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -6.96%E -1.24%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.63%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 00:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.58I 17.92%NM 16.96%EV -7.29%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.68%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.35%EV -3.90%E -0.838%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-16 00:36 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.20%E -8.71%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-16 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.20%E -8.71%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-16 00:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.47%EV -9.45%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.83%EV -3.41%E -2.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -12.77%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -2.16%E -1.38%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 00:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -12.77%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -2.16%E -1.38%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -12.77%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 00:41 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 00:41 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-16 00:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.54%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.33%EV -10.31%E -7.21%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -14.23%E -3.43%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-16 00:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.51%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.65%EV -10.94%E -7.70%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.84%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-15 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-15 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-15 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-15 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.00%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -18.36%E -4.65%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.00%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -18.36%E -4.65%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.23%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.16%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -18.36%E -4.65%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-16 00:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -19.40%E -4.97%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-16 00:41 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.56% | 1.3% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65% | 1.8% | 2026-09-16 00:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.19% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.46% | 1.8% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |