Язык:Русский
Puebla v Toluca
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Puebla (Хозяева)
Прогноз 16.61%6.02справедливый коэффициент
EV +10.49%
Преимущество +1.58%
Kelly +1.86%
Рост +0.195%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.65
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.54%16.50%16.46%18.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.905.475.506.6520.41%18.27%18.18%15.04%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Toluca (Гости)
Прогноз 62.72%1.59справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.16%
Преимущество -1.38%
Kelly -3.86%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.56
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
59.00%62.65%62.86%65.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.401.491.481.5671.43%67.24%67.57%64.10%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 20.67%4.84справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.796%
Преимущество -0.166%
Kelly -0.210%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.80
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.86%20.85%20.68%22.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.904.304.304.8025.64%23.25%23.26%20.83%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Puebla (Хозяева): 16.61%; Toluca (Гости): 62.72%; Ничья: 20.67%. Для исхода «Puebla (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.02. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.65, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +10.49%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.54%EV +10.49%E +1.58%K +1.86%G +0.195% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.32%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV -0.796%E -0.166%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.54%EV +10.49%E +1.58%K +1.86%G +0.195% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.32%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV -0.796%E -0.166%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV +3.01%E +0.486%K +0.579%G +0.017% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -10.94%E -7.70%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 00:41 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -0.310%E -0.052%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.310%E -0.052%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.310%E -0.052%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.94I 16.84%NM 16.22%EV -1.31%E -0.220%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.40%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.37%EV -2.24%E -0.474%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.91I 16.92%NM 15.93%EV -1.81%E -0.306%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.77%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.30%EV -8.65%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV -1.97%E -0.334%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.37%EV -14.23%E -3.43%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -1.97%E -0.334%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -14.23%E -3.43%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 00:36 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.35%EV -2.47%E -0.421%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.74%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.91%EV -5.14%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-16 00:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -1.83%E -0.385%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 00:36 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 00:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -4.46%E -0.776%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -6.96%E -1.24%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.63%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 00:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.58I 17.92%NM 16.96%EV -7.29%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.68%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.35%EV -3.90%E -0.838%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-16 00:36 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.20%E -8.71%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-16 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.20%E -8.71%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-16 00:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.47%EV -9.45%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.83%EV -3.41%E -2.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -12.77%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -2.16%E -1.38%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 00:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -12.77%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -2.16%E -1.38%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -12.77%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.00%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 00:41 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 00:41 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -15.26%E -2.99%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-16 00:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.54%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.33%EV -10.31%E -7.21%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -14.23%E -3.43%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-16 00:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.51%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.65%EV -10.94%E -7.70%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.84%EV -13.20%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-15 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-15 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-15 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-15 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.00%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -18.36%E -4.65%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.00%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -18.36%E -4.65%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.23%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.16%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -18.36%E -4.65%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-16 00:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -19.40%E -4.97%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-16 00:41 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.56% | 1.3% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65% | 1.8% | 2026-09-16 00:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.19% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.46% | 1.8% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |