Language:English
Necaxa v Cruz Azul
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Necaxa (Local)
Prediction 26.59%3.76fair odd
EV +2.12%
Edge +0.552%
Kelly +0.747%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 3.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%26.52%26.56%27.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.453.403.8431.75%28.98%29.41%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cruz Azul (Visit)
Prediction 47.59%2.10fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -3.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.35%47.65%47.62%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.931.932.0255.25%51.76%51.81%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.82%3.87fair odd
EV +0.696%
Edge +0.178%
Kelly +0.240%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.75%25.83%25.82%26.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.563.603.9030.30%28.06%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Necaxa (Local): 26.59%; Cruz Azul (Visit): 47.59%; Draw: 25.82%. For Necaxa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.84, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.04%EV +2.12%E +0.552%K +0.747%G +0.016% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.55%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.41%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.273%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.696%E +0.178%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.273%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.696%E +0.178%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.273%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.696%E +0.178%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.60%E -0.433%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.63%E -4.50%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.60%E -0.433%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.63%E -4.50%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.93%E -0.803%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.26%EV -6.25%E -3.17%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.65%EV -3.46%E -0.954%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.89%EV -3.87%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -1.89%E -0.496%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.63%E -4.50%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 00:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -5.59%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.91%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.21%EV -7.31%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 20:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.14%EV -5.30%E -2.66%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 00:51 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 00:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.59%E -5.04%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.18%E -0.847%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.44%EV -10.11%E -2.99%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.28%EV -10.06%E -5.32%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 00:32 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.91%E -3.26%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 00:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 00:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-28 20:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.46%EV -10.54%E -5.60%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -11.01%E -5.89%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 00:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.60%EV -12.92%E -7.06%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -13.50%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-29 00:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -13.57%E -4.18%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -14.90%E -4.66%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.20%EV -11.01%E -5.89%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.17%EV -16.23%E -5.15%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 47.28%EV -13.87%E -7.66%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%EV -13.50%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 00:51 |