Idioma:Español
Necaxa v Cruz Azul
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Necaxa (Local)
Predicción 26.59%3.76momio equitativo
EV +2.12%
Ventaja +0.552%
Kelly +0.747%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.00%26.52%26.56%27.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.453.403.8431.75%28.98%29.41%26.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cruz Azul (Visitante)
Predicción 47.59%2.10momio equitativo
EV -3.87%
Ventaja -1.92%
Kelly -3.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.35%47.65%47.62%49.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.811.931.932.0255.25%51.76%51.81%49.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.82%3.87momio equitativo
EV +0.696%
Ventaja +0.178%
Kelly +0.240%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.75%25.83%25.82%26.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.563.603.9030.30%28.06%27.78%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Necaxa (Local): 26.59%; Cruz Azul (Visitante): 47.59%; Empate: 25.82%. Para Necaxa (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.76. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.84, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.12%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.04%EV +2.12%E +0.552%K +0.747%G +0.016% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.55%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.41%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.273%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.696%E +0.178%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.273%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.696%E +0.178%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.273%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.696%E +0.178%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.60%E -0.433%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.63%E -4.50%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.60%E -0.433%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.63%E -4.50%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.93%E -0.803%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.26%EV -6.25%E -3.17%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.65%EV -3.46%E -0.954%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.89%EV -3.87%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -1.89%E -0.496%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.63%E -4.50%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 00:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -5.59%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.91%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.21%EV -7.31%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 20:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.14%EV -5.30%E -2.66%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 00:51 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 00:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.59%E -5.04%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.18%E -0.847%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.44%EV -10.11%E -2.99%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.28%EV -10.06%E -5.32%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 00:32 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.91%E -3.26%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 00:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 00:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-28 20:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.46%EV -10.54%E -5.60%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -11.01%E -5.89%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 00:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.60%EV -12.92%E -7.06%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -13.50%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-29 00:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -13.57%E -4.18%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -14.90%E -4.66%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.20%EV -11.01%E -5.89%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.17%EV -16.23%E -5.15%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 47.28%EV -13.87%E -7.66%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%EV -13.50%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 00:51 |