StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Necaxa v Cruz Azul

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-29 01:01 UTC

Endstand: Necaxa 1–3 Cruz Azul

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Necaxa (Heim)

Prognose 26.59%3.76faire Quote
EV +2.12%
Vorteil +0.552%
Kelly +0.747%
Wachstum +0.016%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.84

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.00%26.52%26.56%27.58%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.153.453.403.8431.75%28.98%29.41%26.04%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Cruz Azul (Auswärts)

Prognose 47.59%2.10faire Quote
EV -3.87%
Vorteil -1.92%
Kelly -3.80%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.02

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.35%47.65%47.62%49.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.811.931.932.0255.25%51.76%51.81%49.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 25.82%3.87faire Quote
EV +0.696%
Vorteil +0.178%
Kelly +0.240%
Wachstum +0.002%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.75%25.83%25.82%26.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.303.563.603.9030.30%28.06%27.78%25.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Necaxa (Heim): 26.59%; Cruz Azul (Auswärts): 47.59%; Unentschieden: 25.82%. Für Necaxa (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.76. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.84 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.12%.

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 25.04%EV +2.12%E +0.552%K +0.747%G +0.016%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.55%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.41%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.273%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.696%E +0.178%K +0.240%G +0.002%3.6%2026-08-29 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.273%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.696%E +0.178%K +0.240%G +0.002%3.6%2026-08-29 00:25
BetUS🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.273%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.696%E +0.178%K +0.240%G +0.002%3.6%2026-08-29 00:25
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.60%E -0.433%K -0.594%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.63%E -4.50%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 00:55
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.60%E -0.433%K -0.594%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.63%E -4.50%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 00:55
Coolbet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.93%E -0.803%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.26%EV -6.25%E -3.17%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 22:45
Pinnacle🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.65%EV -3.46%E -0.954%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.89%EV -3.87%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -1.89%E -0.496%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 00:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.63%E -4.50%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 00:54
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -5.59%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.91%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 00:55
GTbets🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.21%EV -7.31%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 20:20
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 00:25
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 00:30
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 00:25
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.14%EV -5.30%E -2.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 00:51
ATG (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 00:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 00:15
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 00:50
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 00:43
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 00:30
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.59%E -5.04%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:40
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 00:55
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.18%E -0.847%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 00:55
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:14
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:15
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:15
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:15
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:15
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 26.44%EV -10.11%E -2.99%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.28%EV -10.06%E -5.32%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 00:32
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.91%E -3.26%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 00:35
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 00:50
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 00:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 00:50
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-28 20:30
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.46%EV -10.54%E -5.60%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -11.01%E -5.89%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 00:14
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 00:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 00:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 00:30
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 00:30
NetBet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.60%EV -12.92%E -7.06%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -13.50%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-29 00:54
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -13.57%E -4.18%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 00:50
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -14.90%E -4.66%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.20%EV -11.01%E -5.89%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 00:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.17%EV -16.23%E -5.15%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 47.28%EV -13.87%E -7.66%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%EV -13.50%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-29 00:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-08-29 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-08-29 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-08-29 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-08-29 00:30
Smarkets◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-08-29 00:25
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-08-29 00:51