Langue:Français
Necaxa v Cruz Azul
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Necaxa (Local)
Prévision 26.59%3.76cote équitable
EV +2.12%
Avantage +0.552%
Kelly +0.747%
Croissance +0.016%
avec la cote maximale 3.84
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.00%26.52%26.56%27.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.453.403.8431.75%28.98%29.41%26.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Cruz Azul (Visiteur)
Prévision 47.59%2.10cote équitable
EV -3.87%
Avantage -1.92%
Kelly -3.80%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.35%47.65%47.62%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.811.931.932.0255.25%51.76%51.81%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 25.82%3.87cote équitable
EV +0.696%
Avantage +0.178%
Kelly +0.240%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 3.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.75%25.83%25.82%26.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.563.603.9030.30%28.06%27.78%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Necaxa (Local) : 26.59% ; Cruz Azul (Visiteur) : 47.59% ; Match nul : 25.82%. Pour Necaxa (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.76. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.84, soit une espérance positive de +2.12%.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.04%EV +2.12%E +0.552%K +0.747%G +0.016% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.55%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.41%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.273%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.696%E +0.178%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.273%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.696%E +0.178%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.273%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.696%E +0.178%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.60%E -0.433%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.63%E -4.50%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.60%E -0.433%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.63%E -4.50%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.93%E -0.803%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.26%EV -6.25%E -3.17%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.65%EV -3.46%E -0.954%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.89%EV -3.87%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -1.89%E -0.496%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.63%E -4.50%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 00:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -5.59%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.91%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.21%EV -7.31%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 20:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.14%EV -5.30%E -2.66%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 00:51 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 00:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.59%E -5.04%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.18%E -0.847%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.44%EV -10.11%E -2.99%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.28%EV -10.06%E -5.32%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 00:32 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.91%E -3.26%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 00:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 00:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-28 20:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.46%EV -10.54%E -5.60%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -11.01%E -5.89%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 00:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.60%EV -12.92%E -7.06%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -13.50%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-29 00:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -13.57%E -4.18%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -14.90%E -4.66%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.20%EV -11.01%E -5.89%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.17%EV -16.23%E -5.15%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 47.28%EV -13.87%E -7.66%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%EV -13.50%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 00:51 |