StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Necaxa v Cruz Azul

Matchstart: 2026-08-29 01:01 UTC

Slutresultat: Necaxa 1–3 Cruz Azul

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

46 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Necaxa (Hemma)

Prognos 26.59%3.76rättvist odds
EV +2.12%
Fördel +0.552%
Kelly +0.747%
Tillväxt +0.016%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.84

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.00%26.52%26.56%27.58%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.153.453.403.8431.75%28.98%29.41%26.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Cruz Azul (Borta)

Prognos 47.59%2.10rättvist odds
EV -3.87%
Fördel -1.92%
Kelly -3.80%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.02

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
46.35%47.65%47.62%49.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.811.931.932.0255.25%51.76%51.81%49.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.82%3.87rättvist odds
EV +0.696%
Fördel +0.178%
Kelly +0.240%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.75%25.83%25.82%26.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.563.603.9030.30%28.06%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Necaxa (Hemma): 26.59%; Cruz Azul (Borta): 47.59%; Oavgjort: 25.82%. För Necaxa (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.76. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.84, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.12%.

Spelbolagsodds (46 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 25.04%EV +2.12%E +0.552%K +0.747%G +0.016%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.55%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.41%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.273%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.696%E +0.178%K +0.240%G +0.002%3.6%2026-08-29 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.273%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.696%E +0.178%K +0.240%G +0.002%3.6%2026-08-29 00:25
BetUS🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.273%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.696%E +0.178%K +0.240%G +0.002%3.6%2026-08-29 00:25
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.60%E -0.433%K -0.594%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.63%E -4.50%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 00:55
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.60%E -0.433%K -0.594%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.63%E -4.50%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 00:55
Coolbet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.93%E -0.803%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.26%EV -6.25%E -3.17%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 22:45
Pinnacle🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.65%EV -3.46%E -0.954%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.89%EV -3.87%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -1.89%E -0.496%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 00:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.63%E -4.50%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 00:54
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -5.59%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.91%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 00:55
GTbets🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.21%EV -7.31%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 20:20
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 00:25
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 00:30
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 00:25
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.14%EV -5.30%E -2.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 00:51
ATG (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 00:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 00:15
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 00:50
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 00:43
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 00:30
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.59%E -5.04%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:40
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 00:55
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.18%E -0.847%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 00:55
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:14
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:15
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:15
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:15
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:15
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 26.44%EV -10.11%E -2.99%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.28%EV -10.06%E -5.32%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 00:32
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.91%E -3.26%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 00:35
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 00:50
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 00:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 00:50
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-28 20:30
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.46%EV -10.54%E -5.60%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -11.01%E -5.89%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 00:14
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 00:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 00:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 00:30
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 00:30
NetBet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.60%EV -12.92%E -7.06%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -13.50%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-29 00:54
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -13.57%E -4.18%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 00:50
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -14.90%E -4.66%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.20%EV -11.01%E -5.89%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 00:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.17%EV -16.23%E -5.15%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 47.28%EV -13.87%E -7.66%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%EV -13.50%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-29 00:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-08-29 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-08-29 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-08-29 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-08-29 00:30
Smarkets◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-08-29 00:25
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-08-29 00:51