语言:简体中文
Necaxa v Cruz Azul
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Necaxa (主队)
预测 26.59%3.76公平赔率
EV +2.12%
优势 +0.552%
Kelly +0.747%
增长率 +0.016%
假设最高赔率为 3.84
博彩公司预测分布
25.00%26.52%26.56%27.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.453.403.8431.75%28.98%29.41%26.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
Cruz Azul (客队)
预测 47.59%2.10公平赔率
EV -3.87%
优势 -1.92%
Kelly -3.80%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.02
博彩公司预测分布
46.35%47.65%47.62%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.811.931.932.0255.25%51.76%51.81%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.82%3.87公平赔率
EV +0.696%
优势 +0.178%
Kelly +0.240%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 3.90
博彩公司预测分布
24.75%25.83%25.82%26.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.563.603.9030.30%28.06%27.78%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Necaxa (主队)：26.59%；Cruz Azul (客队)：47.59%；平局：25.82%。 对于“Necaxa (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.76。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.84，对应+2.12%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.04%EV +2.12%E +0.552%K +0.747%G +0.016% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.55%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.41%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.273%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.696%E +0.178%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.273%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.696%E +0.178%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.273%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.696%E +0.178%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.60%E -0.433%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.63%E -4.50%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.60%E -0.433%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.63%E -4.50%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.93%E -0.803%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.26%EV -6.25%E -3.17%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.65%EV -3.46%E -0.954%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.89%EV -3.87%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -1.89%E -0.496%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.63%E -4.50%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 00:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -5.59%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.91%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.21%EV -7.31%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 20:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.14%EV -5.30%E -2.66%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 00:51 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 00:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.59%E -5.04%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.18%E -0.847%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.44%EV -10.11%E -2.99%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.28%EV -10.06%E -5.32%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 00:32 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.91%E -3.26%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 00:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 00:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-28 20:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.46%EV -10.54%E -5.60%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -11.01%E -5.89%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 00:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.60%EV -12.92%E -7.06%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -13.50%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-29 00:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -13.57%E -4.18%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 00:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -14.90%E -4.66%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.20%EV -11.01%E -5.89%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.17%EV -16.23%E -5.15%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 47.28%EV -13.87%E -7.66%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%EV -13.50%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 00:51 |