Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Necaxa v Cruz Azul

Inizio: 2026-08-29 01:01 UTC

Finale: Necaxa 1–3 Cruz Azul

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

46 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Necaxa (Casa)

Previsione 26.59%3.76quota equa
EV +2.12%
Vantaggio +0.552%
Kelly +0.747%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.84

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.00%26.52%26.56%27.58%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.453.403.8431.75%28.98%29.41%26.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Cruz Azul (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.59%2.10quota equa
EV -3.87%
Vantaggio -1.92%
Kelly -3.80%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.35%47.65%47.62%49.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.811.931.932.0255.25%51.76%51.81%49.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.82%3.87quota equa
EV +0.696%
Vantaggio +0.178%
Kelly +0.240%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.75%25.83%25.82%26.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.563.603.9030.30%28.06%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Necaxa (Casa): 26.59%; Cruz Azul (Trasferta): 47.59%; Pareggio: 25.82%. Per Necaxa (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.76. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.84, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.12%.

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 25.04%EV +2.12%E +0.552%K +0.747%G +0.016%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.55%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.41%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.273%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.696%E +0.178%K +0.240%G +0.002%3.6%2026-08-29 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.273%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.696%E +0.178%K +0.240%G +0.002%3.6%2026-08-29 00:25
BetUS🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.273%E -0.073%K -0.099%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +0.696%E +0.178%K +0.240%G +0.002%3.6%2026-08-29 00:25
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.60%E -0.433%K -0.594%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.63%E -4.50%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 00:55
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.60%E -0.433%K -0.594%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.63%E -4.50%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 00:55
Coolbet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.93%E -0.803%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.26%EV -6.25%E -3.17%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 22:45
Pinnacle🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.65%EV -3.46%E -0.954%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.89%EV -3.87%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -1.89%E -0.496%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 00:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.63%E -4.50%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 00:54
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -5.59%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.91%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.34%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 00:55
GTbets🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.21%EV -7.31%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 20:20
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 00:25
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 00:30
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 00:25
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.14%EV -5.30%E -2.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 00:51
ATG (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 00:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 00:15
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 00:50
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 00:43
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 00:30
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.59%E -5.04%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:40
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 00:55
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.18%E -0.847%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 00:55
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:14
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:15
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:15
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:15
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:15
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 26.44%EV -10.11%E -2.99%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.28%EV -10.06%E -5.32%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 00:32
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.91%E -3.26%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 00:35
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 00:50
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 00:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 00:50
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-28 20:30
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.46%EV -10.54%E -5.60%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -11.01%E -5.89%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 00:14
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 00:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 00:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 00:30
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.80%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 00:30
NetBet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.60%EV -12.92%E -7.06%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -13.50%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-29 00:54
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -13.57%E -4.18%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 00:50
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -14.90%E -4.66%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.20%EV -11.01%E -5.89%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 00:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.17%EV -16.23%E -5.15%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 47.28%EV -13.87%E -7.66%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%EV -13.50%E -4.03%K -5.75%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-29 00:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-08-29 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-08-29 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-08-29 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-08-29 00:30
Smarkets◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-08-29 00:25
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-08-29 00:51