Language:English
Cruz Azul v Santos Laguna
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cruz Azul (Local)
Prediction 68.87%1.45fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.69%68.75%68.68%70.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.331.331.4380.65%74.94%75.19%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Santos Laguna (Visit)
Prediction 12.97%7.71fair odd
EV +3.73%
Edge +0.466%
Kelly +0.532%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.71%12.92%13.22%14.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.147.008.0016.67%14.00%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.16%5.51fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.287%
Kelly -0.352%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.48%18.33%18.10%20.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.555.035.105.4221.98%19.89%19.61%18.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cruz Azul (Local): 68.87%; Santos Laguna (Visit): 12.97%; Draw: 18.16%. For Santos Laguna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.71. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +3.73%E +0.466%K +0.532%G +0.020% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +3.73%E +0.466%K +0.532%G +0.020% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 23:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.88%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV +1.13%E +0.145%K +0.167%G +0.002% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -17.36%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 22:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.88%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV +1.13%E +0.145%K +0.167%G +0.002% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -17.36%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 22:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV +1.13%E +0.145%K +0.167%G +0.002% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.83%EV -4.96%E -3.59%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 7.78I 12.85%NM 12.39%EV +0.875%E +0.112%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.78%EV -1.56%E -0.287%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV +0.486%E +0.063%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -3.73%E -0.705%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.65%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.19%EV -1.46%E -0.192%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -7.37%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.05%EV -4.96%E -3.59%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.62%EV -2.11%E -0.279%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.33%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.44%EV -4.96%E -3.59%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 7.54I 13.26%NM 12.71%EV -2.24%E -0.297%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.85%EV -2.46%E -0.459%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.86%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -3.73%E -0.705%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.86%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -3.73%E -0.705%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -13.72%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 22:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -3.73%E -0.705%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.54%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -7.37%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 22:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.96%EV -2.20%E -1.55%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.55%EV -7.68%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.49%EV -5.19%E -0.994%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.96%EV -2.20%E -1.55%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.55%EV -7.68%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.49%EV -5.19%E -0.994%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.81%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.89%EV -7.94%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 22:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.02%E -5.20%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.64%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.21%EV -8.28%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -11.85%E -9.25%K -42.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.00%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -11.85%E -9.25%K -42.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.00%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -11.85%E -9.25%K -42.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.00%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.48%EV -1.51%E -1.06%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.07%EV -11.05%E -1.61%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.45%EV -5.01%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 22:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 69.35%EV -14.60%E -11.77%K -60.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.74%EV -12.48%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.91%EV -12.82%E -2.67%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.53%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.60%EV -13.13%E -1.96%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -7.37%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 21:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.82%E -2.67%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 22:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.31%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.67%EV -17.02%E -2.66%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.02%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.69%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.30%EV -18.96%E -3.03%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.01%EV -14.63%E -3.11%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -22.20%E -3.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.10% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.68% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.21% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.65% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.47% | 2.2% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.00% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.31% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69% | 2.8% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.88% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.46% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 23:00 |