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Cruz Azul v Santos Laguna

2026-09-07 02:00 UTC — Liga MX

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cruz Azul (Local)

Prediction 67.62%1.48fair odd
EV -6.68%
Edge -4.84%
Kelly -17.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.14%67.62%67.62%69.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.331.351.3879.37%74.99%74.07%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Santos Laguna (Visit)

Prediction 13.44%7.44fair odd
EV +0.787%
Edge +0.105%
Kelly +0.121%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.52%13.44%13.44%13.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.406.917.007.5015.63%14.46%14.29%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.94%5.28fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -0.666%
Kelly -0.829%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.42%18.94%18.94%19.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.844.905.1022.22%20.68%20.41%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cruz Azul (Local): 67.62%; Santos Laguna (Visit): 13.44%; Draw: 18.94%. For Santos Laguna (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.44. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.50, producing a positive expected value of +0.787%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +0.787%E +0.105%K +0.121%G +0.001%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -3.40%E -0.666%K -0.829%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 02:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +0.787%E +0.105%K +0.121%G +0.001%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -3.40%E -0.666%K -0.829%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 02:35
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.07%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.14%EV -3.92%E -0.548%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -5.29%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 02:15
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -5.93%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.19%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 02:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -5.93%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.19%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 02:36
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -5.93%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.19%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 02:36
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -5.93%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.19%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 02:35
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -5.93%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.19%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 02:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -5.93%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.19%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 02:35
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -5.93%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.19%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 02:35
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.87%EV -10.74%E -8.14%K -33.57%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -9.29%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.03%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-28 02:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.06%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.11%EV -9.29%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.83%EV -10.98%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-28 02:36
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.06%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.11%EV -9.29%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.83%EV -10.98%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-28 02:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.06%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.11%EV -9.29%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.83%EV -10.98%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-28 02:35
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -12.65%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.03%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-28 02:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 67.85%EV -14.80%E -11.74%K -56.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.15%EV -12.65%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.00%EV -14.76%E -3.28%K -4.22%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-28 02:36
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 67.14%EV -11.42%E -8.72%K -36.83%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.74%EV -14.00%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -12.87%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-28 02:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 61.47%4.55I 21.98%NM 16.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 21.91%32.3%2026-08-28 06:50