默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cruz Azul v Santos Laguna

2026-09-07 02:00 UTC — Liga MX

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (2 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cruz Azul (主队)

预测 67.62%1.48公平赔率
EV -6.68%
优势 -4.84%
Kelly -17.59%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.38

博彩公司预测分布
67.14%67.62%67.62%69.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.261.331.351.3879.37%74.99%74.07%72.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

Santos Laguna (客队)

预测 13.44%7.44公平赔率
EV +0.787%
优势 +0.105%
Kelly +0.121%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 7.50

博彩公司预测分布
12.52%13.44%13.44%13.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.406.917.007.5015.63%14.46%14.29%13.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 18.94%5.28公平赔率
EV -3.40%
优势 -0.666%
Kelly -0.829%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.10

博彩公司预测分布
18.42%18.94%18.94%19.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.504.844.905.1022.22%20.68%20.41%19.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Cruz Azul (主队):67.62%;Santos Laguna (客队):13.44%;平局:18.94%。 对于“Santos Laguna (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.44。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为7.50,由此产生+0.787%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +0.787%E +0.105%K +0.121%G +0.001%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -3.40%E -0.666%K -0.829%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 02:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +0.787%E +0.105%K +0.121%G +0.001%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -3.40%E -0.666%K -0.829%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 02:35
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.07%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.14%EV -3.92%E -0.548%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -5.29%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 02:15
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -5.93%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.19%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 02:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -5.93%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.19%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 02:36
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -5.93%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.19%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 02:36
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -5.93%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.19%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 02:35
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -5.93%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.19%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 02:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -5.93%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.19%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 02:35
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -5.93%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.19%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 02:35
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.87%EV -10.74%E -8.14%K -33.57%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -9.29%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.03%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-28 02:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.06%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.11%EV -9.29%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.83%EV -10.98%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-28 02:36
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.06%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.11%EV -9.29%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.83%EV -10.98%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-28 02:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.06%EV -12.09%E -9.30%K -40.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.11%EV -9.29%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.83%EV -10.98%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-28 02:35
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.06%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -12.65%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.03%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-28 02:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 67.85%EV -14.80%E -11.74%K -56.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.15%EV -12.65%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.00%EV -14.76%E -3.28%K -4.22%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-28 02:36
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 67.14%EV -11.42%E -8.72%K -36.83%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.74%EV -14.00%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -12.87%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-28 02:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 60.53%4.35I 22.99%NM 17.11%3.33I 30.03%NM 22.36%34.3%2026-08-28 07:20