Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cruz Azul v Santos Laguna

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 23:02 UTC

Score final : Cruz Azul 1–0 Santos Laguna

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cruz Azul (Local)

Prévision 68.87%1.45cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -3.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.69%68.75%68.68%70.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.241.331.331.4380.65%74.94%75.19%69.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Santos Laguna (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.97%7.71cote équitable
EV +3.73%
Avantage +0.466%
Kelly +0.532%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.71%12.92%13.22%14.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.007.147.008.0016.67%14.00%14.29%12.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 18.16%5.51cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -0.287%
Kelly -0.352%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.48%18.33%18.10%20.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.555.035.105.4221.98%19.89%19.61%18.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cruz Azul (Local) : 68.87% ; Santos Laguna (Visiteur) : 12.97% ; Match nul : 18.16%. Pour Santos Laguna (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.71. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.00, soit une espérance positive de +3.73%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +3.73%E +0.466%K +0.532%G +0.020%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 23:00
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +3.73%E +0.466%K +0.532%G +0.020%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 23:01
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.88%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV +1.13%E +0.145%K +0.167%G +0.002%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -17.36%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:29
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.88%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV +1.13%E +0.145%K +0.167%G +0.002%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -17.36%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV +1.13%E +0.145%K +0.167%G +0.002%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 22:20
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.83%EV -4.96%E -3.59%K -13.05%G +0.000%7.78I 12.85%NM 12.39%EV +0.875%E +0.112%K +0.129%G +0.001%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.78%EV -1.56%E -0.287%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-06 22:55
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV +0.486%E +0.063%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -3.73%E -0.705%K -0.869%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 22:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.65%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.19%EV -1.46%E -0.192%K -0.221%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -7.37%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.05%EV -4.96%E -3.59%K -13.05%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.62%EV -2.11%E -0.279%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.33%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 12:40
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.44%EV -4.96%E -3.59%K -13.05%G +0.000%7.54I 13.26%NM 12.71%EV -2.24%E -0.297%K -0.342%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.85%EV -2.46%E -0.459%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 22:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.86%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -3.73%E -0.705%K -0.869%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.86%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -3.73%E -0.705%K -0.869%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -13.72%E -2.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 22:35
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -3.73%E -0.705%K -0.869%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.54%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -7.37%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 22:44
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 23:00
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 23:00
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -9.09%E -6.89%K -28.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -2.76%E -0.367%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -5.55%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.96%EV -2.20%E -1.55%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.55%EV -7.68%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.49%EV -5.19%E -0.994%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-05 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.96%EV -2.20%E -1.55%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.55%EV -7.68%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.49%EV -5.19%E -0.994%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.81%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.89%EV -7.94%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 22:55
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 22:14
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.02%E -5.20%K -20.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -4.64%E -0.884%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 22:25
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 23:00
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.64%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.21%EV -8.28%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 22:55
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -11.85%E -9.25%K -42.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.00%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -11.85%E -9.25%K -42.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.00%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -11.85%E -9.25%K -42.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -11.00%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 23:00
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.48%EV -1.51%E -1.06%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.07%EV -11.05%E -1.61%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.45%EV -5.01%E -0.957%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 22:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 69.35%EV -14.60%E -11.77%K -60.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.74%EV -12.48%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.91%EV -12.82%E -2.67%K -3.37%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-06 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.53%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.60%EV -13.13%E -1.96%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -7.37%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 23:00
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 21:30
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -9.18%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 22:59
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 22:20
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -8.40%E -6.32%K -25.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 22:20
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.82%E -2.67%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 22:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.31%EV -10.47%E -8.05%K -34.89%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.67%EV -17.02%E -2.66%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.02%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-06 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.69%EV -7.71%E -5.76%K -22.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.30%EV -18.96%E -3.03%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.01%EV -14.63%E -3.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 22:55
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -6.34%E -4.66%K -17.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -22.20%E -3.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -16.45%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 19:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%1.1%2026-09-06 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%1.1%2026-09-06 22:55
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.10%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.68%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.21%1.9%2026-09-06 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.65%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.47%2.2%2026-09-06 23:00
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.00%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.31%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69%2.8%2026-09-06 23:00
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 70.88%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.46%3.0%2026-09-06 23:00